02092naa a2200253 a 450000100080000000500110000800800410001902400560006010000220011624501570013826000090029552012830030465000160158765000190160365300270162265300130164970000250166270000220168770000200170970000170172970000200174670000160176677300560178221509542023-03-24 2023 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d7 ahttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaridenv.2022.1049242DOI1 aARAÚJO, F. H. V. aSpread of Striga asiatica through suitable climatic conditionsbrisk assessment in new areas producing Zea mays in South America.h[electronic resource] c2023 aStriga asiatica (dicot), an obligate hemiparasitic of monocots, is a potential threat to South America. Determining the ecological factors that explain the occurrence and predicting suitable areas for S. asiatica are fundamental for designing prevention strategies. We developed a Spatio-temporal dynamics model and evaluated Brazil?s Weekly Growth Index (GIW) for S. asiatica. We analyzed four Brazilian regions (Central-West, South, Southeast, and Northeast) to verify the local seasonal variation of the species in climatic data. Our results indicated areas with favorable climatic suitability for the species in part of South America. Seasonal assessment models showed that high rainfall and the dry and cold periods common in tropical regions affect the GIW for S. asiatica. When we associate periods with maximum rainfall of 53 mm per week and temperature above 20 ◦C, the GIW approachesthe optimal index for the regions evaluated, indicating the influence of soil moisture and air temperature. Our risk assessment indicated that the Southeast and Northeast are at the most significant risk of S. asiatica invasion. Projections for climate change between 2040?2059 showed expansions in areas suitable for S. asiatica compared to the current climate of South America. aCrescimento aPraga Exótica aAdequação climática aParasita1 aSANTOS, J. C. B. dos1 aSANTOS, J. B. dos1 aSILVA, A. F. da1 aRAMOS, R. S.1 aSILVA, R. S. da1 aSHABANI, F. tJournal of Arid Environmentsgv. 210, 104924, 2023.