02155naa a2200361 a 450000100080000000500110000800800410001902400550006010000250011524501020014026000090024252011050025165000160135665000150137265000130138765000220140065000160142265000250143865000160146365000170147965300160149665300280151265300230154065300210156365300180158465300200160265300170162270000200163970000230165970000230168270000190170577300690172421321082021-06-02       2021    bl uuuu     u00u1 u    #d7 ahttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2021.1050242DOI1 aMILLINGTON, J. D. A.  aModelling drivers of Brazilian agricultural change in a telecoupled world.h[electronic resource]  c2021  aAbstract. Increasing global demand for agricultural commodities has driven local land use/cover change (LUCC) and agricultural production across Brazil during the 21st century. Modelling tools are needed to help understand the range of possible outcomes due to these 'telecoupled' global-to-local relationships, given future political, economic and environmental uncertainties. Here, we present CRAFTY-Brazil, a LUCC model representing production of multiple agricultural commodities that accounts for spatially explicit (e.g., land access) and temporally contingent (e.g., agricultural debt) processes of importance across our nearly four million km2 Brazilian study area. We calibrate the model calibration for 2001-2018, and run tests and scenarios about commodity demand, agricultural yields, climate change, and policy decisions for 2019-2035. Results indicate greater confidence in modelled time-series than spatial allocation. We discuss how our approach might be best understood to be agency-based, rather than agent-based, and highlight questions more and less appropriate for this approach.  aAgriculture  aLand cover  aLand use  aSimulation models  aAgricultura  aProdução Agrícola  aSimulação  aUso da Terra  aAgent-based  aAgricultural production  aCobertura da terra  aCRAFTY framework  aCRAFTY-Brazil  aTeleacoplamento  aTelecoupling1 aKATERINCHUK, V.1 aSILVA, R. F. B. da1 aVICTORIA, D. de C.1 aBATISTELLA, M.  tEnvironmental Modelling and Softwaregv. 139, p. 1-16, May 2021.