02209nam a2200301 a 450000100080000000500110000800800410001910000140006024500940007426000150016830000100018350001880019352012950038165000110167665000140168765000180170165000100171965000100172965000130173965000150175265300200176765300220178765300200180965300160182965300210184565300130186665300280187920104262015-03-02 2012 bl uuuu m 00u1 u #d1 aPEDDE, S. aScenarios of he lived experience of global change in South Americaba focus on hydrology. a2012c2012 a55 f. aThesis (Master in Environmental Systems Analysis) - Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands, 2012. Supervisors Carolien Kroeze and Lineu Neiva Rodrigues (Embrapa Cerrados). aThe present water availability per capita in South America amounts to about 30.000 m3 year-1, and is among the highest in the world. Nevertheless, highly densely populated areas are suffering from water scarcity. In this study, future trends in the lived experience of global change are analysed, with a focus on water demand, water availability, water scarcity and flooding in South America. These issues are approached with an innovative method that combines a quantitative analysis based on a global model for nutrient transport, Global NEWS, and a qualitative interpretation based on the Cultural Theory and the lived experience concept. Four quantitative scenarios for South America are interpreted by including specific characteristics such as social inequalities, different climates, abundance of resources, and regional integration paths. All elements convey in four different storylines which highlight the most important results of the analysis and describe the future lived experience of global change. One such conclusion is that the present hydrology of the continent is strongly affected by demographic, economic and climatic factors. However, in the future, the first two factors may generally produce stronger pressures than climate change on the hydrology in South America. aFloods aHydrology aSouth America aWater aÁgua aEnchente aHidrologia aAmérica do Sul aCenários futuros aCultural theory aGlobal NEWS aLived experience aScarcity aTendências climáticas