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Registro Completo |
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Biblioteca(s): |
Embrapa Agricultura Digital. |
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Data corrente: |
28/12/2011 |
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Data da última atualização: |
13/01/2020 |
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Tipo da produção científica: |
Artigo em Periódico Indexado |
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Autoria: |
ZULLO JÚNIOR, J.; PINTO, H. S.; ASSAD, E. D.; ÁVILA, A. M. H. de. |
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Afiliação: |
JURANDIR ZULLO JÚNIOR, Cepagri/Unicamp; HILTON SILVEIRA PINTO, Cepagri/Unicamp; EDUARDO DELGADO ASSAD, CNPTIA; ANA MARIA HEUMINSKI DE ÁVILA, Cepagri/Unicamp. |
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Título: |
Potential for growing Arabica coffee in the extreme south of Brazil in a warmer world. |
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Ano de publicação: |
2011 |
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Fonte/Imprenta: |
Climatic Change, Dordrecht, v. 109, n. 3-4, p. 535-548, 2011. |
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DOI: |
10.1007/s10584-011-0058-0 |
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Idioma: |
Inglês |
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Conteúdo: |
Agriculture appears to be one of the human activities most vulnerable to climatic changes due to its large dependence on environmental conditions. However, the diversity of Brazilian environmental conditions could be of great advantage to adapting this sector to new climatic conditions, which should be assessed as in this study on shifting Arabica coffee cultivation to the extreme south of the country. The methodology applied is the same the one used to define climatic risks in current productive regions of Brazil and their vulnerability to climatic change predicted by IPCC reports. The basic climatic parameters applied were frost probability and annual average temperature, since annual water deficit did not prove to be a restricting factor for Arabica coffee cultivation in the study area. The climatic conditions suitable for coffee production are: annual average temperature between 18o C and 22o C, annual water deficit less than 100 mm and frost probability (risk of lowest annual temperature less than 1o C) less than 25%. An area is said to have "low climatic risks" for coffee production when these three climatic conditions are met. Current climatic conditions were used and simulations of four temperature increases between 1o C and 4o C were also performed. The results indicated a substantial increase in the size of low climatic risks areas for the production of Arabica coffee in the extreme south of Brazil, mainly for mean temperature increases of 3o C in the study area in relation to present conditions. Increases of 2o C and 4o C were also favorable, but not as good as those obtained for 3o C. It should be underscored that areas with low climatic risks will be able to be found mainly in the extreme south of the study region, the border with Uruguay and North of Argentina. MenosAgriculture appears to be one of the human activities most vulnerable to climatic changes due to its large dependence on environmental conditions. However, the diversity of Brazilian environmental conditions could be of great advantage to adapting this sector to new climatic conditions, which should be assessed as in this study on shifting Arabica coffee cultivation to the extreme south of the country. The methodology applied is the same the one used to define climatic risks in current productive regions of Brazil and their vulnerability to climatic change predicted by IPCC reports. The basic climatic parameters applied were frost probability and annual average temperature, since annual water deficit did not prove to be a restricting factor for Arabica coffee cultivation in the study area. The climatic conditions suitable for coffee production are: annual average temperature between 18o C and 22o C, annual water deficit less than 100 mm and frost probability (risk of lowest annual temperature less than 1o C) less than 25%. An area is said to have "low climatic risks" for coffee production when these three climatic conditions are met. Current climatic conditions were used and simulations of four temperature increases between 1o C and 4o C were also performed. The results indicated a substantial increase in the size of low climatic risks areas for the production of Arabica coffee in the extreme south of Brazil, mainly for mean temperature increases of 3o C in the study area in... Mostrar Tudo |
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Palavras-Chave: |
Mudanças climáticas. |
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Thesagro: |
Agricultura; Café; Coffea Arábica. |
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Thesaurus Nal: |
Agriculture; Climate change. |
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Categoria do assunto: |
-- |
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Marc: |
LEADER 02523naa a2200241 a 4500
001 1911124
005 2020-01-13
008 2011 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d
024 7 $a10.1007/s10584-011-0058-0$2DOI
100 1 $aZULLO JÚNIOR, J.
245 $aPotential for growing Arabica coffee in the extreme south of Brazil in a warmer world.$h[electronic resource]
260 $c2011
520 $aAgriculture appears to be one of the human activities most vulnerable to climatic changes due to its large dependence on environmental conditions. However, the diversity of Brazilian environmental conditions could be of great advantage to adapting this sector to new climatic conditions, which should be assessed as in this study on shifting Arabica coffee cultivation to the extreme south of the country. The methodology applied is the same the one used to define climatic risks in current productive regions of Brazil and their vulnerability to climatic change predicted by IPCC reports. The basic climatic parameters applied were frost probability and annual average temperature, since annual water deficit did not prove to be a restricting factor for Arabica coffee cultivation in the study area. The climatic conditions suitable for coffee production are: annual average temperature between 18o C and 22o C, annual water deficit less than 100 mm and frost probability (risk of lowest annual temperature less than 1o C) less than 25%. An area is said to have "low climatic risks" for coffee production when these three climatic conditions are met. Current climatic conditions were used and simulations of four temperature increases between 1o C and 4o C were also performed. The results indicated a substantial increase in the size of low climatic risks areas for the production of Arabica coffee in the extreme south of Brazil, mainly for mean temperature increases of 3o C in the study area in relation to present conditions. Increases of 2o C and 4o C were also favorable, but not as good as those obtained for 3o C. It should be underscored that areas with low climatic risks will be able to be found mainly in the extreme south of the study region, the border with Uruguay and North of Argentina.
650 $aAgriculture
650 $aClimate change
650 $aAgricultura
650 $aCafé
650 $aCoffea Arábica
653 $aMudanças climáticas
700 1 $aPINTO, H. S.
700 1 $aASSAD, E. D.
700 1 $aÁVILA, A. M. H. de
773 $tClimatic Change, Dordrecht$gv. 109, n. 3-4, p. 535-548, 2011.
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