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Registro Completo |
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Biblioteca(s): |
Embrapa Rondônia. |
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Data corrente: |
20/02/2018 |
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Data da última atualização: |
24/07/2024 |
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Tipo da produção científica: |
Artigo em Periódico Indexado |
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Autoria: |
KLIMAS, C. M.; CROPPER JUNIOR, W. P.; KAINER, K. A.; WADT, L. H. de O. |
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Afiliação: |
CHRISTIE M. KLIMAS, DEPAUL UNIVERSITY; WENDELL P. CROPPER JUNIOR, UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA; KAREN A. KAINER, UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA; LUCIA HELENA DE OLIVEIRA WADT, CPAF-RO. |
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Título: |
Multimodel projections for evaluating sustainable timber and seed harvest of carapa guianensis. |
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Ano de publicação: |
2017 |
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Fonte/Imprenta: |
Forest Science, v. 64, n. 1, p. 15-27, 2017. |
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DOI: |
https://doi.org/10.5849/FS-2017-001 |
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Idioma: |
Inglês |
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Conteúdo: |
Ecological models are increasingly used to forecast the long-term fate of populations after management interventions. The uncertainty associated with forecasts is important to investigate. Because model choice is one component of uncertainty, we compared projections of Carapa guianensis population growth rate () from matrix population models (MPMs) and integral projection models (IPMs). We also compared projections for C. guianensis seed and timber harvest scenarios to those from previous MPMs for this economically valuable multiple-use tree species. Changes in the time interval of the MPM resulted in larger changes in than changes in environmental conditions between years. The only exception to this trend was when representing impacts of a 2005 fire. Fire had a more severe impact on when modeled with IPMs. The IPM estimated in 2005?9 was 0.8122, almost 0.1 lower than the MPM of 0.9115. The management implications of this research were mixed. Both MPM and IPM results indicated declining populations of C. guianensis even before simulated harvests. However, the annualized income from seed oil and timber harvests, although not ecologically sustainable, was comparable or higher than per-hectare earnings from rubber and other nontimber forest products in the Amazon. |
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Palavras-Chave: |
Integral projection models; Matrix population models; Net present value. |
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Thesaurus Nal: |
nontimber forest products. |
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Categoria do assunto: |
K Ciência Florestal e Produtos de Origem Vegetal |
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Marc: |
LEADER 01986naa a2200217 a 4500 001 2087909 005 2024-07-24 008 2017 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d 024 7 $ahttps://doi.org/10.5849/FS-2017-001$2DOI 100 1 $aKLIMAS, C. M. 245 $aMultimodel projections for evaluating sustainable timber and seed harvest of carapa guianensis.$h[electronic resource] 260 $c2017 520 $aEcological models are increasingly used to forecast the long-term fate of populations after management interventions. The uncertainty associated with forecasts is important to investigate. Because model choice is one component of uncertainty, we compared projections of Carapa guianensis population growth rate () from matrix population models (MPMs) and integral projection models (IPMs). We also compared projections for C. guianensis seed and timber harvest scenarios to those from previous MPMs for this economically valuable multiple-use tree species. Changes in the time interval of the MPM resulted in larger changes in than changes in environmental conditions between years. The only exception to this trend was when representing impacts of a 2005 fire. Fire had a more severe impact on when modeled with IPMs. The IPM estimated in 2005?9 was 0.8122, almost 0.1 lower than the MPM of 0.9115. The management implications of this research were mixed. Both MPM and IPM results indicated declining populations of C. guianensis even before simulated harvests. However, the annualized income from seed oil and timber harvests, although not ecologically sustainable, was comparable or higher than per-hectare earnings from rubber and other nontimber forest products in the Amazon. 650 $anontimber forest products 653 $aIntegral projection models 653 $aMatrix population models 653 $aNet present value 700 1 $aCROPPER JUNIOR, W. P. 700 1 $aKAINER, K. A. 700 1 $aWADT, L. H. de O. 773 $tForest Science$gv. 64, n. 1, p. 15-27, 2017.
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| 1. |  | KREUZ, C. L.; PETRI, J. L.; MONDARDO, M. Capacidade produtiva de macieiras cv. Fuji em diversos espaçamentos, com o uso de mudas livres de viroses. Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, Brasília, DF, v. 31, n. 2, p. 121-127, fev. 1996. Título em inglês: Fugi apples production capacity under different plant densities, using virus-free scions.| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Unidades Centrais. |
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| 3. |  | BIASI, J.; MENEZES SOBRINHO, J. A. de; MONDARDO, M. Periodos de repouso do alho apos vernalizado por 35 dias a 3° a 8° C, em 1995 e 1996, em Cacador, SC. In: ENCONTRO SUL BRASILEIRO DE OLERICULTURA, 10.; ENCONTRO SUL BRASILEIRO DE PLASTICULTURA, 7., 1997, Tubarao. Resumos das palestras e trabalhos... Tubarao: SOB, 1997. p.38.| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Hortaliças. |
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| 4. |  | BIASI, J.; MENEZES SOBRINHO, J. A. de; MONDARDO, M. Periodos de repouso do alho apos vernalizado por 50 dias a 3° e 8° C, em 1995 e 1996, em Cacador, SC. In: ENCONTRO SUL BRASILEIRO DE OLERICULTURA, 10.; ENCONTRO SUL BRASILEIRO DE PLASTICULTURA, 7., 1997, Tubarao. Resumos das palestras e trabalhos... Tubarao: SOB, 1997. p.39.| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Hortaliças. |
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| 5. |  | ARGENTA, L. C.; BENDER, R. J.; KREUS, C. L.; MONDARDO, M. Padrões de maturação e índices de colheita de maçãs cvs. Gala, Golden Delicious e Fuji. Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, Brasília, DF, v. 30, n. 10, p. 1259-1266, out. 1995. Título em inglês: Maturity patterns and harvest indices for 'Gala', 'Golden Delicious' and 'Fuji'.| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Unidades Centrais. |
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| Registros recuperados : 5 | |
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