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Registros recuperados : 29 | |
15. | | MAIA, A. H. N.; MEINKE, H.; LENNOX, S.; STONE, R. Inferential, nonparametric statistics to assess the quality of probabilistic forecast systems. Monthly Weather Review, Boston, v. 135, n. 2, p. 351-362, 2007. Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Meio Ambiente. |
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17. | | VAN OORT, P. A. J.; ZHANG, T.; VRIES, M. E. de; HEINEMANN, A. B.; MEINKE, H. Correlation between temperature and phenology prediction error in rice (Oryza sativa L.). Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Amsterdam, v. 151, n. 12, p. 1545-1555, Dec. 2011. Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Arroz e Feijão. |
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19. | | GOYNE, P. J.; MEINKE, H.; MILROY, S. P.; HAMMER, G. L.; HARE, J. M. Development and use of a barley crop simulation model to evaluate production management strategies in north-eastern Australia. Australian Journal of Agricultural Research, Melbourne, v. 47, n. 7, p. 997-1015, 1996. Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Trigo. |
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20. | | DONALD, L.; MEINKE, H.; POWER, B.; WHEELER, M.; MAIA, A. de H. N.; WHITE, N.; STONE, R.; RIBBE, J. Intra-seasonal climate prediction: linking weather and climate forecasts. In: INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY, 8., 2006, Foz do Iguaçu,PR. [Anais?]. Foz do Iguaçu,PR: ICSHMO, 2006. p. 553-555. Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Meio Ambiente. |
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Registros recuperados : 29 | |
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Registro Completo
Biblioteca(s): |
Embrapa Meio Ambiente. |
Data corrente: |
08/10/2015 |
Data da última atualização: |
09/08/2021 |
Tipo da produção científica: |
Artigo em Anais de Congresso |
Autoria: |
DONALD, L.; MEINKE, H.; POWER, B.; WHEELER, M.; MAIA, A. de H. N.; WHITE, N.; STONE, R.; RIBBE, J. |
Afiliação: |
L. DONALD, Queensland Department of Primary Industries and Fisheries, Austrália; H. MEINKE, Queensland Department of Primary Industries and Fisheries, Austrália; B. POWER, Queensland Department of Primary Industries and Fisheries, Austrália; M. WHEELER, Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, Melbourne, Austrália; ALINE DE HOLANDA NUNES MAIA, CNPMA; N. WHITE, Queensland Department of Primary Industries and Fisheries, Austrália; R. STONE, Queensland Department of Primary Industries and Fisheries; Queensland University, Austrália; J. RIBBE, Queensland University, Austrália. |
Título: |
Intra-seasonal climate prediction: linking weather and climate forecasts. |
Ano de publicação: |
2006 |
Fonte/Imprenta: |
In: INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY, 8., 2006, Foz do Iguaçu,PR. [Anais?]. Foz do Iguaçu,PR: ICSHMO, 2006. p. 553-555. |
Idioma: |
Português |
Conteúdo: |
The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is a tropical atmospheric phenomenon, associated with periods of active convection in the eastern hemisphere tropics. The MJO?s temporal scale (22-90 days) coincides with a gap between weather (synoptic forecasts out to 10 days) and climate (seasonal and longer forecasts).Analysis of 35 years of daily rainfall data shows significant modulation of tropical and extra-tropical rainfall by the equatorial passage of the MJO that begins to address the weather-climate forecasting gap. The BMRC?s Real-time multivariate Madden-Julian (RMM) Index( (Wheeler and Hendon, 2004) is a good proxy for the amplitude (strength) and location (Phases 1-8) of the MJO in the eastern hemisphere. As the centre of active convection that distinguishes the MJO travels east along the equator, corresponding rainfall patterns can be identified throughout the tropics and also at higher latitudes. We also observed weather states in standardised MSLP anomaly maps that explain these rainfall patterns. These weather states provide a mechanistic basis for an MJO-based forecasting capacity that bridges the weather-climate divide. Knowledge of these tropical and extra-tropical MJO-associated weather states can significantly improve the tactical management of climatesensitive systems such as agriculture. |
Thesagro: |
Clima; Previsão do tempo. |
Categoria do assunto: |
X Pesquisa, Tecnologia e Engenharia |
URL: |
https://ainfo.cnptia.embrapa.br/digital/bitstream/item/130871/1/2006AA-012.pdf
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Marc: |
LEADER 02037nam a2200217 a 4500 001 2026088 005 2021-08-09 008 2006 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d 100 1 $aDONALD, L. 245 $aIntra-seasonal climate prediction$blinking weather and climate forecasts.$h[electronic resource] 260 $aIn: INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE METEOROLOGY AND OCEANOGRAPHY, 8., 2006, Foz do Iguaçu,PR. [Anais?]. Foz do Iguaçu,PR: ICSHMO, 2006. p. 553-555.$c2006 520 $aThe Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is a tropical atmospheric phenomenon, associated with periods of active convection in the eastern hemisphere tropics. The MJO?s temporal scale (22-90 days) coincides with a gap between weather (synoptic forecasts out to 10 days) and climate (seasonal and longer forecasts).Analysis of 35 years of daily rainfall data shows significant modulation of tropical and extra-tropical rainfall by the equatorial passage of the MJO that begins to address the weather-climate forecasting gap. The BMRC?s Real-time multivariate Madden-Julian (RMM) Index( (Wheeler and Hendon, 2004) is a good proxy for the amplitude (strength) and location (Phases 1-8) of the MJO in the eastern hemisphere. As the centre of active convection that distinguishes the MJO travels east along the equator, corresponding rainfall patterns can be identified throughout the tropics and also at higher latitudes. We also observed weather states in standardised MSLP anomaly maps that explain these rainfall patterns. These weather states provide a mechanistic basis for an MJO-based forecasting capacity that bridges the weather-climate divide. Knowledge of these tropical and extra-tropical MJO-associated weather states can significantly improve the tactical management of climatesensitive systems such as agriculture. 650 $aClima 650 $aPrevisão do tempo 700 1 $aMEINKE, H. 700 1 $aPOWER, B. 700 1 $aWHEELER, M. 700 1 $aMAIA, A. de H. N. 700 1 $aWHITE, N. 700 1 $aSTONE, R. 700 1 $aRIBBE, J.
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Embrapa Meio Ambiente (CNPMA) |
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