Data/hora: 21/06/2024 22:38:46

Biblioteca(s): 	Embrapa Recursos Genéticos e Biotecnologia.	
Tipo da produção científica: 	Artigo em Periódico Indexado	
Circulação/Nível: 	A - 2	
Data corrente: 	22/09/2016	
Data da última atualização: 	06/02/2017	
Autoria: 	NAVIA, D.; HAMADA, E.; GONDIM JUNIOR, M. G. C.; BENITO, N. P.	
Afiliação: 	DENISE NAVIA MAGALHAES FERREIRA, Cenargen; EMILIA HAMADA, CNPMA; MANOEL GUEDES CORREA GONDIM JR., UFRPE; NORTON POLO BENITO, Cenargen.	
Título: 	Spatial forecasting of red palm mite in Brazil under current and future climate change scenarios.	
Ano de publicação: 	2016	
Fonte/Imprenta: 	Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, Brasília v. 51, n. 5, p. 586-598, maio 2016.	
DOI: 	10.1590/S0100-204X2016000500020	
Idioma: 	Inglês	
Conteúdo: 	The objective of this work was to predict the spatial distribution of the red palm mite, Raoiella indica (Acari: Tenuipalpidae), in Brazil under current and future climate change scenarios. A mapping method of species distribution based on the geographic information system (GIS) was used. The maps were constructed taking into account ranges of favorability for temperature and relative humidity. Favorability levels were defined considering the available information on pest biology and population dynamics. To characterize the current climatic conditions, information was referenced to the climate normal from 1961 to 1990. Future scenarios for the models were the A2 and B1 gas emission scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, focusing on the periods of 2011?2040, 2041?2070, and 2071?2100. The constructed maps showed that, for the reference period, Brazil presents extensive areas with favorable or very favorable conditions for the establishment of red palm mite populations. An increasing favorability was observed for future scenarios when compared with the reference period, indicating that the pest impact will worsen if it is already widely spread and causing damage in the country. Under current and future climate scenarios, most of the favorable and very favorable areas for red palm mite are in northeastern Brazil.	
Palavras-Chave: 	Análise de risco de praga; Coconut invasive pest; Coqueiro; Manejo de praga; Mapa de distribuição de espécie; Pest risk analysis; Praga invasora; Raoiella indica; Species distribution mapping.	
Thesagro: 	Coco.	
Thesaurus Nal: 	Pest management.	
Categoria do assunto: 	--	
URL: 	http://ainfo.cnptia.embrapa.br/digital/bitstream/item/146125/1/Spatial-forecasting.pdf	
Registro original: 	Embrapa Recursos Genéticos e Biotecnologia (CENARGEN)	
Exemplares: 	CENARGEN - (36393-1) - UPC - AP - PP - 630.5 -  -  - DIS