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Registro Completo |
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Biblioteca(s): |
Embrapa Unidades Centrais. |
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Data corrente: |
22/07/2022 |
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Data da última atualização: |
25/07/2022 |
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Autoria: |
MARCIAL, E. C.; SCHNEIDERB, E. R.; PIO, M. J.; LEAL, R. M.; FRONZAGLIA, T.; GIMENE, M. |
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Afiliação: |
ELAINE COUTINHO MARCIAL, Universidade Católica de Brasília; EDUARDO RODRIGUES SCHNEIDERB, Universidade Católica de Brasília; MARCELLO JOSÉ PIO, Universidade Católica de Brasilia; RODRIGO MENDES LEAL, Universidade Católica de Brasilia; THOMAZ FRONZAGLIA, SIRE; MÁRCIO GIMENE, Universidade Católica de Brasilia. |
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Título: |
Post-COVID-19 scenarios: a method for moments of crisis. |
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Ano de publicação: |
2022 |
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Fonte/Imprenta: |
Futures, v. 142, 102996, 2022. |
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DOI: |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2022.102996 |
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Idioma: |
Inglês |
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Notas: |
Available online 14 July 2022, 102996. |
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Conteúdo: |
ABSTRACT - At the beginning of 2020, feelings of fear and uncertainty spread throughout the world after the novel coronavirus rapid propagation. The world was not ready to face such a situation. Countries implemented emergency measures to contain it, which included social distancing and shutting down the economy. Social and economic impacts were unpredictable. This manuscript aims to present the application of a remote scenario planning method that identifies threats, opportunities, and subsidies to a strategic evaluation in a short term. The main results identified 15 key trends, four critical uncertainties, four scenarios, ten opportunities, and 13 threats. They were debated and presented to some Brazilian organizations' decision-makers to help develop strategies to curb the aftermath of COVID-19. Our findings show that it is possible to use this agile method to build consistent and coherent scenarios that support the decision-making process. Part of the experts said that participating in the process was essential to comprehend it better. The process also contributed to their learning process and their organization on anticipatory strategy thinking concerning possible future. They agree that the scenarios were relevant, defiant, and plausible and incorporated meaningful events and real challenges to their organizations' strategy formulation or decision-making. |
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Palavras-Chave: |
COVID 19. |
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Categoria do assunto: |
-- |
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Marc: |
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001 2144888
005 2022-07-25
008 2022 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d
024 7 $ahttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2022.102996$2DOI
100 1 $aMARCIAL, E. C.
245 $aPost-COVID-19 scenarios$ba method for moments of crisis.$h[electronic resource]
260 $c2022
500 $aAvailable online 14 July 2022, 102996.
520 $aABSTRACT - At the beginning of 2020, feelings of fear and uncertainty spread throughout the world after the novel coronavirus rapid propagation. The world was not ready to face such a situation. Countries implemented emergency measures to contain it, which included social distancing and shutting down the economy. Social and economic impacts were unpredictable. This manuscript aims to present the application of a remote scenario planning method that identifies threats, opportunities, and subsidies to a strategic evaluation in a short term. The main results identified 15 key trends, four critical uncertainties, four scenarios, ten opportunities, and 13 threats. They were debated and presented to some Brazilian organizations' decision-makers to help develop strategies to curb the aftermath of COVID-19. Our findings show that it is possible to use this agile method to build consistent and coherent scenarios that support the decision-making process. Part of the experts said that participating in the process was essential to comprehend it better. The process also contributed to their learning process and their organization on anticipatory strategy thinking concerning possible future. They agree that the scenarios were relevant, defiant, and plausible and incorporated meaningful events and real challenges to their organizations' strategy formulation or decision-making.
653 $aCOVID 19
700 1 $aSCHNEIDERB, E. R.
700 1 $aPIO, M. J.
700 1 $aLEAL, R. M.
700 1 $aFRONZAGLIA, T.
700 1 $aGIMENE, M.
773 $tFutures$gv. 142, 102996, 2022.
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| Registros recuperados : 9 | |
| 5. |  | PIMENTEL NETO, M.; NUERNBERG, S.; OLIVEIRA, G. P. de; REZENDE, H. E. B. DE; MELLO, R. P. DE; ARAÚJO, J. L. DE B.; COSTA, P. A. 'Fasciola hepática' já contamina homens e animais no estado. Jornal Fluminense, Rio de Janeiro, 20 de Marco, 1973.| Tipo: Artigo de Divulgação na Mídia |
| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Pecuária Sudeste. |
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| 6. | | GOMES, P. A. C.; NUERNBERG, S.; PIMENTEL NETO, M.; OLIVEIRA, G. P. de; REZENDE, H. E. B. de; ARAUJO, J. L. de B.; MELLO, R. P. de. Biologia da Lymnaea columella say 1817 (Mollusca, Gastropoda, Basommatophora, Lymnaeidae). Arquivos Museu Nacional, Rio de Janeiro, v.55, p.67-70, 1975. Resumo.| Tipo: Artigo em Periódico Indexado | Circulação/Nível: Nacional - B |
| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Pecuária Sudeste. |
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| 7. | | ARAÚJO, J. L. B. de; NUERNBERG, S.; OLIVEIRA, G. P. de; MELO, R. P. DE; RESENDE, H. E. B. DE; PIMENTEL NETO, M.; GOMES, P. A. C. Pesquisadores acham que parasita ataca grande parte do rebanho do estado do Rio. Jornal Fluminense, Rio de Janeiro, 15 de mar., 1973.| Tipo: Artigo de Divulgação na Mídia |
| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Pecuária Sudeste. |
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| 8. | | GOMES, P. A. C.; NUENBERG, S.; PIMENTEL NETO, M.; OLIVEIRA, G. P. de; REZENDE, H. E. B. de; ARAUJO, J. L. de B.; MELLO, R. P. de. Infecção experimental de Lymnaea columella Say, 1817, com Fasciola hepatica Linnaeus, 1758, de ocorrência no estado do Rio de Janeiro. Arquivo da Universidade Federal Rural, Rio de Janeiro, v. 4, n. 1, p. 35-38, 1974.| Tipo: Artigo em Periódico Indexado |
| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Pecuária Sudeste. |
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| 9. | | REZENDE, H. E. B. DE; ARAÚJO, J. L. DE B.; GOMES, P. A. C.; NUERNBERG, S.; PIMENTEL NETO, M.; OLIVEIRA, G. P. de; MELLO, R. P. DE. Notas sobre duas espécies de Lymnaea Lamark, 1799, hospedeiros intermediários de Fasciola hepática L. no estado do Rio de Janeiro (Mollusca, Gastropoda, Basommatophora, Lymnaeidae). Revista da Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, v.3, n.1, p.21-23, 1973.| Tipo: Artigo em Anais de Congresso |
| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Pecuária Sudeste. |
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| Registros recuperados : 9 | |
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