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Registro Completo |
Biblioteca(s): |
Embrapa Cerrados. |
Data corrente: |
23/08/2016 |
Data da última atualização: |
26/05/2017 |
Tipo da produção científica: |
Capítulo em Livro Técnico-Científico |
Autoria: |
TORRES, M. de O.; HOWITT, R.; RODRIGUES, L. N. |
Afiliação: |
LINEU NEIVA RODRIGUES, CPAC. |
Título: |
Modeling the economic benefits and distributional impacts of supplemental irrigation. |
Ano de publicação: |
2016 |
Fonte/Imprenta: |
Water Resources and Economics, v. 14, April 2016. |
DOI: |
http://dx.doi.org.ez103.periodicos.capes.gov.br/10.1016/j.wre.2016.03.001 |
Idioma: |
Inglês |
Conteúdo: |
Abstract: Standard hydroeconomic policy models are usually applied to areas in the world where precipitation is very low and crops are fully irrigated. As such, these models pool the annual stored precipitation plus other water supplies and assume that this total water supply can be allocated by time and place. This water pooling approach treats precipitation and irrigation water as fully substitutable. In many irrigated areas, however, a significant amount of water used by crops comes from precipitation. In fact the majority of the global irrigation systems are supplemental to rainfall and, in this context, precipitation and water stored in reservoirs are not fully substitutable. By using primary data from a watershed in Brazil, where precipitation and supplemental water use occur, this paper shows that standard models under-estimate the predicted drought impacts. The paper investigates this issue by setting up two model specifications of regional net-revenue maximization based on a calibrated economic programming model integrated with a mass balance hydrologic model. In one model the substitution between precipitation and irrigation water is explicitly formalized and in the other precipitation and irrigation water are aggregated together in a single water supply. The models are used to estimate and predict the short-run impacts of precipitation cuts on irrigation reservoir levels and the impacts of lower irrigation water supply on farmers' agricultural income. In comparing the results, we find that the standard aggregated hydroeconomic model under-estimates losses in expected returns to farmers and also results in less variability of returns under stochastic rainfall. MenosAbstract: Standard hydroeconomic policy models are usually applied to areas in the world where precipitation is very low and crops are fully irrigated. As such, these models pool the annual stored precipitation plus other water supplies and assume that this total water supply can be allocated by time and place. This water pooling approach treats precipitation and irrigation water as fully substitutable. In many irrigated areas, however, a significant amount of water used by crops comes from precipitation. In fact the majority of the global irrigation systems are supplemental to rainfall and, in this context, precipitation and water stored in reservoirs are not fully substitutable. By using primary data from a watershed in Brazil, where precipitation and supplemental water use occur, this paper shows that standard models under-estimate the predicted drought impacts. The paper investigates this issue by setting up two model specifications of regional net-revenue maximization based on a calibrated economic programming model integrated with a mass balance hydrologic model. In one model the substitution between precipitation and irrigation water is explicitly formalized and in the other precipitation and irrigation water are aggregated together in a single water supply. The models are used to estimate and predict the short-run impacts of precipitation cuts on irrigation reservoir levels and the impacts of lower irrigation water supply on farmers' agricultural income. In comparing... Mostrar Tudo |
Palavras-Chave: |
Applied microeconomics; Hydroeconomic model; Mathematical programming. |
Thesagro: |
Irrigação; Recurso hídrico. |
Thesaurus Nal: |
agricultural income; water resources. |
Categoria do assunto: |
P Recursos Naturais, Ciências Ambientais e da Terra |
Marc: |
LEADER 02459naa a2200241 a 4500 001 2051487 005 2017-05-26 008 2016 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d 024 7 $ahttp://dx.doi.org.ez103.periodicos.capes.gov.br/10.1016/j.wre.2016.03.001$2DOI 100 1 $aTORRES, M. de O. 245 $aModeling the economic benefits and distributional impacts of supplemental irrigation. 260 $c2016 520 $aAbstract: Standard hydroeconomic policy models are usually applied to areas in the world where precipitation is very low and crops are fully irrigated. As such, these models pool the annual stored precipitation plus other water supplies and assume that this total water supply can be allocated by time and place. This water pooling approach treats precipitation and irrigation water as fully substitutable. In many irrigated areas, however, a significant amount of water used by crops comes from precipitation. In fact the majority of the global irrigation systems are supplemental to rainfall and, in this context, precipitation and water stored in reservoirs are not fully substitutable. By using primary data from a watershed in Brazil, where precipitation and supplemental water use occur, this paper shows that standard models under-estimate the predicted drought impacts. The paper investigates this issue by setting up two model specifications of regional net-revenue maximization based on a calibrated economic programming model integrated with a mass balance hydrologic model. In one model the substitution between precipitation and irrigation water is explicitly formalized and in the other precipitation and irrigation water are aggregated together in a single water supply. The models are used to estimate and predict the short-run impacts of precipitation cuts on irrigation reservoir levels and the impacts of lower irrigation water supply on farmers' agricultural income. In comparing the results, we find that the standard aggregated hydroeconomic model under-estimates losses in expected returns to farmers and also results in less variability of returns under stochastic rainfall. 650 $aagricultural income 650 $awater resources 650 $aIrrigação 650 $aRecurso hídrico 653 $aApplied microeconomics 653 $aHydroeconomic model 653 $aMathematical programming 700 1 $aHOWITT, R. 700 1 $aRODRIGUES, L. N. 773 $tWater Resources and Economics$gv. 14, April 2016.
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8. | | SANTOS, H. P. dos; CHAVARRIA, G. Cultivo de videira em ambiente protegido. In: TANIGUCHI, G. C.; FUJIMOTO, F. T. S.; MEDEIROS, W. N.; GROSSI, J. A. S. (Ed.). Cultivo em ambiente protegido: olericultura, fruticultura e floricultura. Viçosa, MG: UFV, 2008. p. 69-104 il., color.Tipo: Capítulo em Livro Técnico-Científico |
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14. | | CHAVARRIA, G.; ZART, M.; BOTTON, M.; SANTOS, H. P. dos; MARODIN, G. A. B. Avaliação da população de adultos de Anastrepha fraterculus (Wied.) em cultivo protegido de videira. In: ENCONTRO DE INICIAÇÃO CIENTÍFICA DA EMBRAPA UVA E VINHO, 5., ENCONTRO DE PÓS-GRADUANDOS DA EMBRAPA UVA E VINHO, 1., 2007, Bento Gonçalves. Resumos. Bento Gonçalves: Embrapa Uva e Vinho, 2007. p. 48. (Embrapa Uva e Vinho. Documentos, 63). Resumo.Tipo: Resumo em Anais de Congresso |
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15. | | CHAVARRIA, G.; SANTOS, H. P. dos; CASTRO, L. A. S. de; MARODIN, A. B.; BERGAMASCHI, H. Anatomia, teor de clorofila e potencial fotossintético de folhas de videiras (Vitis vinifera L.) sob cobertura plástica. In: CONGRESSO BRASILEIRO DE FRUTICULTURA, 20., 2008, Vitória, ES. Anais... Vitória: Incaper, 2008. Não paginado. 1 DVD.Tipo: Artigo em Anais de Congresso / Nota Técnica |
Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Uva e Vinho. |
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16. | | FELIPPETO, J.; SANTOS, H. P. dos; FIALHO, F. B.; BERGONCI, J. I.; CHAVARRIA, G. Caracterização da variabilidade das horas de frio hibernal na região de Bento gonçalves, entre 1976 a 2006. In: ENCONTRO DE INICIAÇÃO CIENTÍFICA DA EMBRAPA UVA E VINHO, 5., ENCONTRO DE PÓS-GRADUANDOS DA EMBRAPA UVA E VINHO, 1., 2007, Bento Gonçalves. Resumos. Bento Gonçalves: Embrapa Uva e Vinho, 2007. p. 53. (Embrapa Uva e Vinho. Documentos, 63).Tipo: Resumo em Anais de Congresso |
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20. | | CHAVARRIA, G.; SANTOS, H. P. dos; ZANUS, M. C.; ZORZAN, C.; MARODIN, G. A. B. Caracterização físico-química do mosto e do vinho Moscato Giallo em videiras cultivadas sob cobertura de plástico. Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, Brasília, DF, v. 43, n. 7, p. 911-916, 2008.Tipo: Artigo em Periódico Indexado | Circulação/Nível: Internacional - A |
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