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Registro Completo |
Biblioteca(s): |
Embrapa Acre. |
Data corrente: |
21/10/2019 |
Data da última atualização: |
02/07/2021 |
Tipo da produção científica: |
Artigo em Periódico Indexado |
Autoria: |
ACUÑA, M. H. A.; OLIVEIRA, L. C. de; OLIVEIRA, M. V. N. d'; SOUZA, M. B.; COSTA, C. A. F. da. |
Afiliação: |
M. H. A. Acuña, REDE-BIONORTE, Universidade Federal do Acre (Ufac); LUIS CLAUDIO DE OLIVEIRA, CPAF-AC; MARCUS VINICIO NEVES D OLIVEIRA, CPAF-AC; M. B. Souza, REDE-BIONORTE, Universidade Federal do Acre; C. A. F. da Costa, REDE-BIONORTE, Universidade Federal do Acre. |
Título: |
Application of the Markov Chain in macroeconomic analysis of a managed forest in the Amazon. |
Ano de publicação: |
2019 |
Fonte/Imprenta: |
Journal of Agricultural Science, v. 11, n. 11, p. 172-184, 2019. |
ISSN: |
1916-9752 (print) / 1916-9760 (online) |
DOI: |
10.5539/jas.v11n11p172 |
Idioma: |
Inglês |
Conteúdo: |
This study includes an economic analysis of the dynamics and prognosis of the forest structure of an area under sustainable forest management in the Amazon, in the primary production of tropical roundwood. It analyzes measurements taken between 2001 and 2011 and carries out forest forecasting for the period from 2001 to 2021 with the application of the Markov Matrix Chain. The variables measured by the probability matrix were transformed into equivalent annual rates and compared over the same period to the Brazilian macroeconomic indicators of gross domestic product (GDP) and the real interest rate of primary roundwood production (TJLP). The valuation of tree density utilized a series of average prices of world imports and exports of roundwood. Between 2001 and 2011, the parameters of the forest dynamics without valuation were similar to the TJLP (1.4% per year) and, when valued, the rates were close to the GDP of 3.5% per year. The forecast from 2001 to 2021 indicates that unrated economic groups behave in a similar way to the TJLP of 1% per annum and to the GDP of 2.2% per year, except the recovery category, which has a negative rate of 1.9% per year. The monitoring of tropical forests allows the achievement of economic indexes capable of assessing the anthropic and natural impacts in short periods of analysis and projecting them over time on natural capital. |
Palavras-Chave: |
Acre; Bujari (AC); Cadena de Márkov; Capital natural; Dinámica forestal; Floresta Estadual do Antimary (AC); Floresta ombrófila aberta; Forest dynamics; Manejo florestal sustentável; Modelos matemáticos; Silvicultura sustentable; Southwestern Amazon; Sudoeste da Amazônia. |
Thesagro: |
Análise Econômica; Exploração Florestal; Floresta Tropical; Modelo Matemático. |
Thesaurus Nal: |
Economic analysis; Markov chain; Mathematical models; Natural capital; Sustainable forestry. |
Categoria do assunto: |
K Ciência Florestal e Produtos de Origem Vegetal |
URL: |
https://ainfo.cnptia.embrapa.br/digital/bitstream/item/203247/1/26879.pdf
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Marc: |
LEADER 02811naa a2200457 a 4500 001 2113288 005 2021-07-02 008 2019 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d 022 $a1916-9752 (print) / 1916-9760 (online) 024 7 $a10.5539/jas.v11n11p172$2DOI 100 1 $aACUÑA, M. H. A. 245 $aApplication of the Markov Chain in macroeconomic analysis of a managed forest in the Amazon.$h[electronic resource] 260 $c2019 520 $aThis study includes an economic analysis of the dynamics and prognosis of the forest structure of an area under sustainable forest management in the Amazon, in the primary production of tropical roundwood. It analyzes measurements taken between 2001 and 2011 and carries out forest forecasting for the period from 2001 to 2021 with the application of the Markov Matrix Chain. The variables measured by the probability matrix were transformed into equivalent annual rates and compared over the same period to the Brazilian macroeconomic indicators of gross domestic product (GDP) and the real interest rate of primary roundwood production (TJLP). The valuation of tree density utilized a series of average prices of world imports and exports of roundwood. Between 2001 and 2011, the parameters of the forest dynamics without valuation were similar to the TJLP (1.4% per year) and, when valued, the rates were close to the GDP of 3.5% per year. The forecast from 2001 to 2021 indicates that unrated economic groups behave in a similar way to the TJLP of 1% per annum and to the GDP of 2.2% per year, except the recovery category, which has a negative rate of 1.9% per year. The monitoring of tropical forests allows the achievement of economic indexes capable of assessing the anthropic and natural impacts in short periods of analysis and projecting them over time on natural capital. 650 $aEconomic analysis 650 $aMarkov chain 650 $aMathematical models 650 $aNatural capital 650 $aSustainable forestry 650 $aAnálise Econômica 650 $aExploração Florestal 650 $aFloresta Tropical 650 $aModelo Matemático 653 $aAcre 653 $aBujari (AC) 653 $aCadena de Márkov 653 $aCapital natural 653 $aDinámica forestal 653 $aFloresta Estadual do Antimary (AC) 653 $aFloresta ombrófila aberta 653 $aForest dynamics 653 $aManejo florestal sustentável 653 $aModelos matemáticos 653 $aSilvicultura sustentable 653 $aSouthwestern Amazon 653 $aSudoeste da Amazônia 700 1 $aOLIVEIRA, L. C. de 700 1 $aOLIVEIRA, M. V. N. d' 700 1 $aSOUZA, M. B. 700 1 $aCOSTA, C. A. F. da 773 $tJournal of Agricultural Science$gv. 11, n. 11, p. 172-184, 2019.
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Registro original: |
Embrapa Acre (CPAF-AC) |
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Registro Completo
Biblioteca(s): |
Embrapa Gado de Leite. |
Data corrente: |
12/03/2008 |
Data da última atualização: |
13/12/2022 |
Tipo da produção científica: |
Circular Técnica |
Autoria: |
OLIVEIRA, J. S. e; SOUZA SOBRINHO, F. de. |
Afiliação: |
Jackson Silva e Oliveira, Embrapa Gado de Leite; Fausto de Souza Sobrinho, Embrapa Gado de Leite. |
Título: |
Cultivares de milho para silagem: resultados das safras 2003/2004, 2004/2005 e 2005/2006 na Região Brasil-Central. |
Ano de publicação: |
2007 |
Fonte/Imprenta: |
Juiz de Fora: Embrapa Gado de Leite, 2007. |
Páginas: |
8 p. |
Série: |
(Embrapa Gado de Leite. Circular Técnica, 94). |
Idioma: |
Português |
Palavras-Chave: |
avaliação; cultivares; cultivares superiores. |
Thesagro: |
Milho; Produtividade; Silagem; Valor Nutritivo. |
Categoria do assunto: |
-- |
URL: |
https://ainfo.cnptia.embrapa.br/digital/bitstream/item/65289/1/CT-94-Cultiv-milho-silagem.pdf
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Marc: |
LEADER 00670nam a2200217 a 4500 001 1595706 005 2022-12-13 008 2007 bl uuuu u0uu1 u #d 100 1 $aOLIVEIRA, J. S. e 245 $aCultivares de milho para silagem$bresultados das safras 2003/2004, 2004/2005 e 2005/2006 na Região Brasil-Central. 260 $aJuiz de Fora: Embrapa Gado de Leite$c2007 300 $a8 p. 490 $a(Embrapa Gado de Leite. Circular Técnica, 94). 650 $aMilho 650 $aProdutividade 650 $aSilagem 650 $aValor Nutritivo 653 $aavaliação 653 $acultivares 653 $acultivares superiores 700 1 $aSOUZA SOBRINHO, F. de
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Embrapa Gado de Leite (CNPGL) |
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