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Registro Completo |
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Biblioteca(s): |
Embrapa Unidades Centrais. |
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Data corrente: |
18/12/2017 |
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Data da última atualização: |
18/12/2017 |
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Autoria: |
MORAES-OLIVEIRA, A. F. de; APARECIDO, L. E. de O.; FIGUEIRA, S. R. F. |
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Afiliação: |
Adriana Ferreira de Moraes-Oliveira, Universidade Estadual Paulista - Unesp/FCAV/DEAE; Lucas Eduardo de Oliveira Aparecido, Unesp/FCAV/DCE; Sérgio Rangel Fernandes Figueira, Universidade Estadual Paulista - Unesp/FCAV/DEAE. |
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Título: |
Economic and climatic models for estimating coffee supply. |
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Ano de publicação: |
2017 |
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Fonte/Imprenta: |
Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, Brasília, DF, v. 52, n. 12, p. 1158-1166, dez. 2017. |
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Idioma: |
Português |
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Notas: |
Título em português: Modelos econômicos e climáticos para estimativa da oferta cafeeira. |
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Conteúdo: |
The objective of this work was to estimate the coffee supply by calibrating statistical models with economic and climatic variables for the main producing regions of the state of São Paulo, Brazil. The regions were Batatais, Caconde, Cássia dos Coqueiros, Cristais Paulista, Espírito Santo do Pinhal, Marília, Mococa, and Osvaldo Cruz. Data on coffee supply, economic variables (rural credit, rural agricultural credit, and production value), and climatic variables (air temperature, rainfall, potential evapotranspiration, water deficit, and water surplus) for each region, during the period from 2000?2014, were used. The models were calibrated using multiple linear regression, and all possible combinations were tested for selecting the variables. Coffee supply was the dependent variable, and the other ones were considered independent. The accuracy and precision of the models were assessed by the mean absolute percentage error and the adjusted coefficient of determination, respectively. The variables that most affect coffee supply are production value and air temperature. Coffee supply can be estimated with multiple linear regressions using economic and climatic variables. The most accurate models are those calibrated to estimate coffee supply for the regions of Cássia dos Coqueiros and Osvaldo Cruz. |
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Palavras-Chave: |
Modelagem; Rural credit. |
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Thesagro: |
Clima; Coffea Arábica; Crédito rural; Econometria. |
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Thesaurus Nal: |
Climate; Econometrics; Models. |
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Categoria do assunto: |
-- |
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URL: |
https://ainfo.cnptia.embrapa.br/digital/bitstream/item/169148/1/Economic-and-climatic-models.pdf
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Marc: |
LEADER 02129naa a2200265 a 4500
001 2082735
005 2017-12-18
008 2017 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d
100 1 $aMORAES-OLIVEIRA, A. F. de
245 $aEconomic and climatic models for estimating coffee supply.
260 $c2017
500 $aTítulo em português: Modelos econômicos e climáticos para estimativa da oferta cafeeira.
520 $aThe objective of this work was to estimate the coffee supply by calibrating statistical models with economic and climatic variables for the main producing regions of the state of São Paulo, Brazil. The regions were Batatais, Caconde, Cássia dos Coqueiros, Cristais Paulista, Espírito Santo do Pinhal, Marília, Mococa, and Osvaldo Cruz. Data on coffee supply, economic variables (rural credit, rural agricultural credit, and production value), and climatic variables (air temperature, rainfall, potential evapotranspiration, water deficit, and water surplus) for each region, during the period from 2000?2014, were used. The models were calibrated using multiple linear regression, and all possible combinations were tested for selecting the variables. Coffee supply was the dependent variable, and the other ones were considered independent. The accuracy and precision of the models were assessed by the mean absolute percentage error and the adjusted coefficient of determination, respectively. The variables that most affect coffee supply are production value and air temperature. Coffee supply can be estimated with multiple linear regressions using economic and climatic variables. The most accurate models are those calibrated to estimate coffee supply for the regions of Cássia dos Coqueiros and Osvaldo Cruz.
650 $aClimate
650 $aEconometrics
650 $aModels
650 $aClima
650 $aCoffea Arábica
650 $aCrédito rural
650 $aEconometria
653 $aModelagem
653 $aRural credit
700 1 $aAPARECIDO, L. E. de O.
700 1 $aFIGUEIRA, S. R. F.
773 $tPesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, Brasília, DF$gv. 52, n. 12, p. 1158-1166, dez. 2017.
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Registro original: |
Embrapa Unidades Centrais (AI-SEDE) |
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| Registros recuperados : 8 | |
| 1. |  | CAMEAU, A.; LANGEVIN, F.; CAETANO, V. da R.; EUDES, F.; RANDHAWA, H.; DION, Y.; VOLDENG, H. A systemic approach to genetics and crop management, leading to a sustainable wheat revolution. In: INTERNATIONAL CROP SCIENCE CONGRESS, 6., 2012, Bento Gonçalves, Brasil. Bento Gonçalves: International Crop Science Society, 2012.| Tipo: Resumo em Anais de Congresso |
| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Clima Temperado. |
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| 2. | | COMEAU, A.; LANGEVIN, F.; CAETANO, V. da R.; SCHEEREN, P. L.; DION, Y.; VOLDENG, H.; GILBERT, J.; HABER, S. L'approche systémique: nouveau concept appuyé par une capacité de livrer les résultats en génétique appliquée. In: SÉMINAIRE INTERNATIONAL DE BIOLOGIE VÉGÉTALE ET ECOLOGIE, 1., 2010, Constantine. Resumos e anais... Constantine: Université Mentouri Constantine, 2010.| Tipo: Artigo em Anais de Congresso |
| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Clima Temperado. |
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| 3. | | COMEAU, A.; LANGEVIN, F.; CAETANO, V. da R.; SCHEEREN, P. L.; DION, Y.; VOLDENG, H.; GILBERT, J.; HABER, S. L'approche systémique: nouveau concept appuyé par une capacité de livrer les résultats en génétique appliquée. In: SÉMINAIRE INTERNATIONAL DE BIOLOGIE VÉGÉTALE ET ECOLOGIE, 1., 2010, Constantine. Resumos e anais... Constantine: Université Mentouri Constantine, 2010.| Tipo: Resumo em Anais de Congresso |
| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Trigo. |
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| 4. | | COMEAU, A.; LANGEVIN, F.; SCHEEREN, P. L.; DION, Y.; RIOUX, S.; VOLDENG, H.; BLACKWELL, B.; SAVARD, M.; EUDES, F.; CAETANO, V. R. FHB can be defeated by a systemic approach. In: CANADIAN WORKSHOP ON FUSARIUM HEAD BLIGHT, 8.; COLLOQUE CANADIEN SUR LA FUSARIOSE, 8., 2016, Ottawa. Proceedings... Ottawa: Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, 2016. S-26, p. 33.| Tipo: Resumo em Anais de Congresso |
| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Clima Temperado; Embrapa Trigo. |
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| 5. | | CAMEAU, A.; LANGEVIN, F.; CAETANO, V. da R.; HABER, S.; SAVARD, M. E.; VOLDENG, H.; FEDAK, G.; DION, Y.; RIOUX, S.; GILBERT, J.; SOMERS, D.; MARTIN, R. A. A systemic approach for the development of FHB resistant germplasm accelerates genetic progress. Cereal Research Communications, Hungria, v. 36, p. 6-9, 2008.| Tipo: Artigo em Periódico Indexado | Circulação/Nível: Internacional - A |
| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Clima Temperado. |
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| 6. | | COMEAU, A.; LANGEVIN, F.; SCHEEREN, P. L.; RIOUX, S.; VOLDENG, H.; BLACKWELL, B.; EUDES, F.; CAETANO, V. da R.; DION, Y. A systemic approach to incorporate the highest levels of FHB resistance with agronomic merit and quality in wheat. In: INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON FUSARIUM HEAD BLIGHT, 5.; INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP ON WHEAT BLAST, 2., 2016, Florianópolis. Book of abstracts... Passo Fundo: Ed. Universidade de Passo Fundo: Embrapa Trigo; Viçosa, MG: Universidade Federal de Viçosa, 2016. p. 28, sess. 1, abst. P5. 5th International Symposium on Fusarium Head Blight.| Tipo: Resumo em Anais de Congresso |
| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Clima Temperado; Embrapa Trigo. |
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| 7. | | COMEAU, A.; LANGEVIN, F.; CAETANO, V. da R.; HEBER, S.; SAVARD, M. E.; VOLDENG, H.; FEDAK, G.; DION, Y.; RIOUX, S.; GILBERT, J.; SOMERS, D.; MARTIN, R. A. A sistemic approach for the development of FHB resistant germplasm accelerates. Cereal research communications, Hungria, v. 36, n. 6, p. 5-9, 2008.| Tipo: Artigo em Periódico Indexado | Circulação/Nível: Internacional - A |
| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Clima Temperado. |
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| 8. | | COMEAU, A.; LANGEVIN, F.; CAETANO, V. da R.; HABER, S.; SAVARD, M. E.; VOLDENG, H.; FEDAK, G.; DION, Y.; RIOUX, S.; GILBERT, J.; SOMERS, D.; MARTIN, R. A.; SCHEEREN, P. L. A different path to the summit of fusarium head blight resistance in wheat: developing germplasm with a systemic approach. In: EUROPEAN FUSARIUM SEMINAR 'FUSARIUM - MYCOTOXINS, TAXONOMY, PATHOGENICITY AND HOST RESISTANCE', 11., 2010, Radzików. Book of Abstracts Radzików: IHAR, 2010. p. 75-76| Tipo: Resumo em Anais de Congresso |
| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Clima Temperado. |
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| Registros recuperados : 8 | |
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| Nenhum registro encontrado para a expressão de busca informada. |
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