| |
|
|
 | Acesso ao texto completo restrito à biblioteca da Embrapa Meio Ambiente. Para informações adicionais entre em contato com cnpma.biblioteca@embrapa.br. |
|
Registro Completo |
|
Biblioteca(s): |
Embrapa Meio Ambiente. |
|
Data corrente: |
08/05/2007 |
|
Data da última atualização: |
13/08/2015 |
|
Tipo da produção científica: |
Artigo em Periódico Indexado |
|
Autoria: |
MAIA, A. de H. N.; MEINKE, H. |
|
Afiliação: |
ALINE DE HOLANDA NUNES MAIA, CNPMA; H. MEINKE, Queensland Department of Primary Industries and Fisheries, Emerging Technologies, Toowoomba, Australia. |
|
Título: |
From inferential statistics to climate knowledge . |
|
Ano de publicação: |
2006 |
|
Fonte/Imprenta: |
Advances in Geosciences, Hackensack, v. 6, p. 211-216, 2006. |
|
Idioma: |
Inglês |
|
Conteúdo: |
Climate variability and change are risk factors for climate sensitive activities such as agriculture. Managing these risks requires "climate knowledge", i.e. a sound understanding of causes and consequences of climate variability and knowledge of potential management options that are suitable in light of the climatic risks posed. Often such information about prognostic variables (e.g. yield, rainfall, run-off) is provided in probabilistic terms (e.g. via cumulative distribution functions, CDF), whereby the quantitative assessments of these alternative management options is based on such CDFs. Sound statistical approaches are needed in order to assess whether difference between such CDFs are intrinsic features of systems dynamics or chance events (i.e. quantifying evidences against an appropriate null hypothesis). Statistical procedures that rely on such a hypothesis testing framework are referred to as "inferential statistics" in contrast to descriptive statistics (e.g. mean, median, variance of population samples, skill scores). Here we report on the extension of some of the existing inferential techniques that provides more relevant and adequate information for decision making under uncertainty. |
|
Palavras-Chave: |
Avaliação quantitativa; Estatística descritiva; Fator de risco; Inferência; Mudanças climáticas; Prognóstico. |
|
Thesagro: |
Agricultura; Método Estatístico; Tomada de Decisão. |
|
Categoria do assunto: |
X Pesquisa, Tecnologia e Engenharia |
|
Marc: |
LEADER 01911naa a2200241 a 4500
001 1015270
005 2015-08-13
008 2006 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d
100 1 $aMAIA, A. de H. N.
245 $aFrom inferential statistics to climate knowledge .$h[electronic resource]
260 $c2006
520 $aClimate variability and change are risk factors for climate sensitive activities such as agriculture. Managing these risks requires "climate knowledge", i.e. a sound understanding of causes and consequences of climate variability and knowledge of potential management options that are suitable in light of the climatic risks posed. Often such information about prognostic variables (e.g. yield, rainfall, run-off) is provided in probabilistic terms (e.g. via cumulative distribution functions, CDF), whereby the quantitative assessments of these alternative management options is based on such CDFs. Sound statistical approaches are needed in order to assess whether difference between such CDFs are intrinsic features of systems dynamics or chance events (i.e. quantifying evidences against an appropriate null hypothesis). Statistical procedures that rely on such a hypothesis testing framework are referred to as "inferential statistics" in contrast to descriptive statistics (e.g. mean, median, variance of population samples, skill scores). Here we report on the extension of some of the existing inferential techniques that provides more relevant and adequate information for decision making under uncertainty.
650 $aAgricultura
650 $aMétodo Estatístico
650 $aTomada de Decisão
653 $aAvaliação quantitativa
653 $aEstatística descritiva
653 $aFator de risco
653 $aInferência
653 $aMudanças climáticas
653 $aPrognóstico
700 1 $aMEINKE, H.
773 $tAdvances in Geosciences, Hackensack$gv. 6, p. 211-216, 2006.
Download
Esconder MarcMostrar Marc Completo |
|
Registro original: |
Embrapa Meio Ambiente (CNPMA) |
|
|
Biblioteca |
ID |
Origem |
Tipo/Formato |
Classificação |
Cutter |
Registro |
Volume |
Status |
URL |
Voltar
|
|
|
| Registros recuperados : 1 | |
| Registros recuperados : 1 | |
|
| Nenhum registro encontrado para a expressão de busca informada. |
|
|
