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Registro Completo |
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Biblioteca(s): |
Embrapa Recursos Genéticos e Biotecnologia. |
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Data corrente: |
22/09/2016 |
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Data da última atualização: |
06/02/2017 |
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Tipo da produção científica: |
Artigo em Periódico Indexado |
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Autoria: |
NAVIA, D.; HAMADA, E.; GONDIM JUNIOR, M. G. C.; BENITO, N. P. |
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Afiliação: |
DENISE NAVIA MAGALHAES FERREIRA, Cenargen; EMILIA HAMADA, CNPMA; MANOEL GUEDES CORREA GONDIM JR., UFRPE; NORTON POLO BENITO, Cenargen. |
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Título: |
Spatial forecasting of red palm mite in Brazil under current and future climate change scenarios. |
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Ano de publicação: |
2016 |
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Fonte/Imprenta: |
Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, Brasília v. 51, n. 5, p. 586-598, maio 2016. |
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DOI: |
10.1590/S0100-204X2016000500020 |
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Idioma: |
Inglês |
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Conteúdo: |
The objective of this work was to predict the spatial distribution of the red palm mite, Raoiella indica (Acari: Tenuipalpidae), in Brazil under current and future climate change scenarios. A mapping method of species distribution based on the geographic information system (GIS) was used. The maps were constructed taking into account ranges of favorability for temperature and relative humidity. Favorability levels were defined considering the available information on pest biology and population dynamics. To characterize the current climatic conditions, information was referenced to the climate normal from 1961 to 1990. Future scenarios for the models were the A2 and B1 gas emission scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, focusing on the periods of 2011?2040, 2041?2070, and 2071?2100. The constructed maps showed that, for the reference period, Brazil presents extensive areas with favorable or very favorable conditions for the establishment of red palm mite populations. An increasing favorability was observed for future scenarios when compared with the reference period, indicating that the pest impact will worsen if it is already widely spread and causing damage in the country. Under current and future climate scenarios, most of the favorable and very favorable areas for red palm mite are in northeastern Brazil. |
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Palavras-Chave: |
Análise de risco de praga; Coconut invasive pest; Coqueiro; Manejo de praga; Mapa de distribuição de espécie; Pest risk analysis; Praga invasora; Raoiella indica; Species distribution mapping. |
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Thesagro: |
Coco. |
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Thesaurus Nal: |
Pest management. |
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Categoria do assunto: |
-- |
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URL: |
https://ainfo.cnptia.embrapa.br/digital/bitstream/item/146125/1/Spatial-forecasting.pdf
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Marc: |
LEADER 02286naa a2200301 a 4500
001 2053341
005 2017-02-06
008 2016 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d
024 7 $a10.1590/S0100-204X2016000500020$2DOI
100 1 $aNAVIA, D.
245 $aSpatial forecasting of red palm mite in Brazil under current and future climate change scenarios.
260 $c2016
520 $aThe objective of this work was to predict the spatial distribution of the red palm mite, Raoiella indica (Acari: Tenuipalpidae), in Brazil under current and future climate change scenarios. A mapping method of species distribution based on the geographic information system (GIS) was used. The maps were constructed taking into account ranges of favorability for temperature and relative humidity. Favorability levels were defined considering the available information on pest biology and population dynamics. To characterize the current climatic conditions, information was referenced to the climate normal from 1961 to 1990. Future scenarios for the models were the A2 and B1 gas emission scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, focusing on the periods of 2011?2040, 2041?2070, and 2071?2100. The constructed maps showed that, for the reference period, Brazil presents extensive areas with favorable or very favorable conditions for the establishment of red palm mite populations. An increasing favorability was observed for future scenarios when compared with the reference period, indicating that the pest impact will worsen if it is already widely spread and causing damage in the country. Under current and future climate scenarios, most of the favorable and very favorable areas for red palm mite are in northeastern Brazil.
650 $aPest management
650 $aCoco
653 $aAnálise de risco de praga
653 $aCoconut invasive pest
653 $aCoqueiro
653 $aManejo de praga
653 $aMapa de distribuição de espécie
653 $aPest risk analysis
653 $aPraga invasora
653 $aRaoiella indica
653 $aSpecies distribution mapping
700 1 $aHAMADA, E.
700 1 $aGONDIM JUNIOR, M. G. C.
700 1 $aBENITO, N. P.
773 $tPesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, Brasília$gv. 51, n. 5, p. 586-598, maio 2016.
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Registro original: |
Embrapa Recursos Genéticos e Biotecnologia (CENARGEN) |
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| 27. |  | SMIDERLE, O. J.; GIANLUPPI, V.; GIANLUPPI, D. Qualidade e produtividade de sementes de soja produzidas em áreas de cerrado de Roraima, em plantio direto sobre braquiária. In: ENCONTRO DE PESQUISA E INICIAÇÃO CIENTÍFICA, 7, 2008, Boa Vista, Roraima. Anais.... Boa Vista, Roraima : UFRR, 2008.| Tipo: Resumo em Anais de Congresso |
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