Registro Completo |
Biblioteca(s): |
Embrapa Caprinos e Ovinos. |
Data corrente: |
28/12/2016 |
Data da última atualização: |
28/12/2016 |
Autoria: |
BARLOW, N. D. |
Título: |
A model for pest assessment in New Zealand sheep pastures. |
Ano de publicação: |
1985 |
Fonte/Imprenta: |
Agricultural Systems, v. 18 n. 1, p. 1-37, 1985. |
DOI: |
10.1016/0308-521X(85)90055-1 |
Idioma: |
Inglês |
Conteúdo: |
Abstract: The simplest possible simulation model of a sheep flock breeding system is used to translate the effects of pasture pests into production and revenue losses. Using the New Zealand Hepialid moth, porina, as an example, the percentage reduction in pasture growth over an eight-month period is equal to half the porina density (m-2). Monetary losses are about 10 c per stock unit for each larva m-2 or a reduction in stocking rate of 0.4% per larva m-2 if attacks are sustained. Thresholds for control with insecticide, the cheapest method of treatment, are 40 m-2 and 20 m?2 for stocking rates of 10 and 20 SU ha?1 and double these values for sporadic attacks on under-stocked farms. This assumes 100% return or NZ$2 per NZ$1 spent, rather than the 0% implied by the economic threshold. A distinction is drawn between ?grazing? and ?denuding? pests, having absolute and proportional effects respectively on pasture growth, and between long-term or chronic problems which affect carrying capacity and short-term acute problems which depress individual animal production. Percentage monetary losses from long-term pest problems equate with measured percentage pasture growth losses. Expected losses from short-term, sporadic attacks are similar but more sensitive to within-farm stocking rate. Maximum possible losses in years of poor pasture growth, occurring with a probability of 25%, are in the order of 25% greater than the expected losses. The proportional effect on animal production and revenue of any seasonal pasture loss (or gain) is best estimated by averaging the seasonal percentage losses or by weighting the percentage loss by the proportion of the year over which it occurs, rather than by expressing the absolute loss as a percentage of annual production. MenosAbstract: The simplest possible simulation model of a sheep flock breeding system is used to translate the effects of pasture pests into production and revenue losses. Using the New Zealand Hepialid moth, porina, as an example, the percentage reduction in pasture growth over an eight-month period is equal to half the porina density (m-2). Monetary losses are about 10 c per stock unit for each larva m-2 or a reduction in stocking rate of 0.4% per larva m-2 if attacks are sustained. Thresholds for control with insecticide, the cheapest method of treatment, are 40 m-2 and 20 m?2 for stocking rates of 10 and 20 SU ha?1 and double these values for sporadic attacks on under-stocked farms. This assumes 100% return or NZ$2 per NZ$1 spent, rather than the 0% implied by the economic threshold. A distinction is drawn between ?grazing? and ?denuding? pests, having absolute and proportional effects respectively on pasture growth, and between long-term or chronic problems which affect carrying capacity and short-term acute problems which depress individual animal production. Percentage monetary losses from long-term pest problems equate with measured percentage pasture growth losses. Expected losses from short-term, sporadic attacks are similar but more sensitive to within-farm stocking rate. Maximum possible losses in years of poor pasture growth, occurring with a probability of 25%, are in the order of 25% greater than the expected losses. The proportional effect on animal production an... Mostrar Tudo |
Palavras-Chave: |
Efeito de praga; Losses; Modelo animal; Pests of plants. |
Thesagro: |
Modelo de simulação; Ovino; Pastagem; Perda da produção; Praga de planta; Produção animal. |
Thesaurus Nal: |
Animal models; Animal production; Sheep. |
Categoria do assunto: |
-- |
Marc: |
LEADER 02549naa a2200289 a 4500 001 2059451 005 2016-12-28 008 1985 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d 024 7 $a10.1016/0308-521X(85)90055-1$2DOI 100 1 $aBARLOW, N. D. 245 $aA model for pest assessment in New Zealand sheep pastures. 260 $c1985 520 $aAbstract: The simplest possible simulation model of a sheep flock breeding system is used to translate the effects of pasture pests into production and revenue losses. Using the New Zealand Hepialid moth, porina, as an example, the percentage reduction in pasture growth over an eight-month period is equal to half the porina density (m-2). Monetary losses are about 10 c per stock unit for each larva m-2 or a reduction in stocking rate of 0.4% per larva m-2 if attacks are sustained. Thresholds for control with insecticide, the cheapest method of treatment, are 40 m-2 and 20 m?2 for stocking rates of 10 and 20 SU ha?1 and double these values for sporadic attacks on under-stocked farms. This assumes 100% return or NZ$2 per NZ$1 spent, rather than the 0% implied by the economic threshold. A distinction is drawn between ?grazing? and ?denuding? pests, having absolute and proportional effects respectively on pasture growth, and between long-term or chronic problems which affect carrying capacity and short-term acute problems which depress individual animal production. Percentage monetary losses from long-term pest problems equate with measured percentage pasture growth losses. Expected losses from short-term, sporadic attacks are similar but more sensitive to within-farm stocking rate. Maximum possible losses in years of poor pasture growth, occurring with a probability of 25%, are in the order of 25% greater than the expected losses. The proportional effect on animal production and revenue of any seasonal pasture loss (or gain) is best estimated by averaging the seasonal percentage losses or by weighting the percentage loss by the proportion of the year over which it occurs, rather than by expressing the absolute loss as a percentage of annual production. 650 $aAnimal models 650 $aAnimal production 650 $aSheep 650 $aModelo de simulação 650 $aOvino 650 $aPastagem 650 $aPerda da produção 650 $aPraga de planta 650 $aProdução animal 653 $aEfeito de praga 653 $aLosses 653 $aModelo animal 653 $aPests of plants 773 $tAgricultural Systems$gv. 18 n. 1, p. 1-37, 1985.
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Registro original: |
Embrapa Caprinos e Ovinos (CNPC) |
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