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Registro Completo |
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Biblioteca(s): |
Embrapa Amapá; Embrapa Clima Temperado; Embrapa Pecuária Sul. |
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Data corrente: |
02/07/2025 |
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Data da última atualização: |
02/07/2025 |
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Tipo da produção científica: |
Artigo em Periódico Indexado |
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Autoria: |
GALVÃO-SILVA, F. L.; GÓMEZ LLANO, J. H.; LIMA, A. L.; JESUS, C. R. de; ADAIME, R.; NAVA, D. E. |
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Afiliação: |
FABIO LUIS GALVÃO-SILVA, UNIVERSIDADE FEDERAL DE PELOTAS; JESÚS HERNANDO GÓMEZ LLANO, UNIVERSIDADE FEDERAL DE PELOTAS; ADILSON LOPES LIMA, CPPSUL; CRISTIANE RAMOS DE JESUS, CPAF-AP; RICARDO ADAIME DA SILVA, CPAF-AP; DORI EDSON NAVA, CPACT. |
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Título: |
Species distribution models reveal restricted areas for biological control of Bactrocera carambolae by its parasitoid Fopius arisanus in Brazil. |
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Ano de publicação: |
2025 |
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Fonte/Imprenta: |
Biological Control, v. 204, art. 105752, May 2025. |
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DOI: |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocontrol.2025.105752 |
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Idioma: |
Inglês |
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Conteúdo: |
Fopius arisanus (Sonan) is an exotic parasitoid used to control Bactrocera spp. In Brazil, it is suggested as a control agent for Bactrocera carambolae Drew & Hancock. The pest is currently restricted to the northern territory of Brazil; however, temperature changes may lead to an increase in its distribution. Species distribution models (SDMs) can predict a species’ potential geographic range in a particular climate change scenario. We aimed to predict the susceptible areas for expanding and establishing B. carambolae and its parasitoid, F. arisanus in Brazil, particularly, in the Amazon region. Climate layers were extracted from bioclimatic variables, and Random Forest was used to predict the SMDs for both Brazilian species under two climatic scenarios (intermediary and extreme). Our predictions showed a larger suitability area for B. carambolae establishment than for its parasitoids. Although B. carambolae is widespread, especially in the North and Midwest, F. arisanus has a limited area from west of Cear´a State to North and East of Amap´a State. Fopius arisanus had a low chance of increasing its geographical area under both climatic scenarios. The parasitoids and their hosts were similarly influenced by bioclimatic variables [precipitation seasonality (BIO15) and annual precipitation (BIO12)]. Our results revealed a limited compatibility area for both B. carambolae and F. arisanus in the Brazilian territory, with potential expansion of the pest compared with its parasitoid. In this context, the country’s northern regions face a “red alert flag” for implementing strategies to prevent the spread of pests by releasing parasitoids. MenosFopius arisanus (Sonan) is an exotic parasitoid used to control Bactrocera spp. In Brazil, it is suggested as a control agent for Bactrocera carambolae Drew & Hancock. The pest is currently restricted to the northern territory of Brazil; however, temperature changes may lead to an increase in its distribution. Species distribution models (SDMs) can predict a species’ potential geographic range in a particular climate change scenario. We aimed to predict the susceptible areas for expanding and establishing B. carambolae and its parasitoid, F. arisanus in Brazil, particularly, in the Amazon region. Climate layers were extracted from bioclimatic variables, and Random Forest was used to predict the SMDs for both Brazilian species under two climatic scenarios (intermediary and extreme). Our predictions showed a larger suitability area for B. carambolae establishment than for its parasitoids. Although B. carambolae is widespread, especially in the North and Midwest, F. arisanus has a limited area from west of Cear´a State to North and East of Amap´a State. Fopius arisanus had a low chance of increasing its geographical area under both climatic scenarios. The parasitoids and their hosts were similarly influenced by bioclimatic variables [precipitation seasonality (BIO15) and annual precipitation (BIO12)]. Our results revealed a limited compatibility area for both B. carambolae and F. arisanus in the Brazilian territory, with potential expansion of the pest compared with its parasit... Mostrar Tudo |
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Thesagro: |
Bactrocera Carambolae; Carambola; Controle Biológico; Mosca. |
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Thesaurus Nal: |
Braconidae. |
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Categoria do assunto: |
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O Insetos e Entomologia |
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Marc: |
null
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Registro original: |
Embrapa Pecuária Sul (CPPSUL) |
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