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| 8. |  | CONTINI, E.; PENA JÚNIOR, M. A. G.; SANTANA, C. A. M.; MARTHA JÚNIOR, G. Exportações: motor do agronegócio brasileiro. Revista de Política Agrícola, Brasília, DF, v. 21, n. 2, p. 88-102, abr./mai./jun. 2012.| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Semiárido. |
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| 10. | | GAUNA, D.; OVIEDO, S.; VIAL, A.; PENA JUNIOR, M. A. G.; CAMPOS, S. K.; SZOSTAK, J. Building foresight capabilities in agricultural scientific institutions of the Southern Cone: lessons from a learning-by doing-experience. In: FUTURES CONFERENCE, 20., 2019, Finland. Constructing social futures: sustainability, responsibility and power. Finland: University of Turku, 2019. p. 78-79.| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Unidades Centrais. |
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| 12. | | BOLFE, E. L.; PENA JUNIOR, M. A. G.; CONTINI, E.; D'OLIVEIRA, F. M.; SILVA, G. T. S. da. Base de dados da agropecuária brasileira: planejamento estratégico e desenvolvimento. Brazilian Journal of Development, Curitiba, v. 5, n. 1, p. 201-214, jan. 2019.| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Unidades Centrais. |
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| 13. | | MARTHA JUNIOR, G. B.; PENA JUNIOR, M. A. G.; MARCIAL, E. C.; CASTANHEIRA NETO, F.; TORRES, L. A.; NOGUEIRA, V. G. de C.; CHERVENSKI, V. M. B.; SILVA, G. T. S. da; WOSGRAU, A. C. Cenários exploratórios para o desenvolvimento tecnológico da agricultura brasileira : síntese. Brasília, DF : Embrapa, 2016. 26 p.| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Unidades Centrais. |
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| 14. | | TORRES, D. A. P.; FRONZAGLIA, T.; SANTANA, C. A. M.; ARAUJO, D. L. M. de; BOLFE, E. L.; LOPES, D. B.; PENA JUNIOR, M. A. G.; HENZ, G. P. Cenas: bioeconomia: moldando o futuro. In: MARCIAL, E. C.; CURADO, M. P. F.; OLIVEIRA, M. G. de; CRUZ JÚNIOR, S. C. da; COUTO, L. F. (Ed.). Brasil 2035: cenários para o desenvolvimento. Brasília, DF: Ipea: Assecor, 2017. p. 219-238| Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Unidades Centrais. |
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 | Acesso ao texto completo restrito à biblioteca da Embrapa Unidades Centrais. Para informações adicionais entre em contato com biblioteca@embrapa.br. |
Registro Completo
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Biblioteca(s): |
Embrapa Unidades Centrais. |
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Data corrente: |
24/05/2021 |
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Data da última atualização: |
10/06/2021 |
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Tipo da produção científica: |
Artigo em Periódico Indexado |
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Circulação/Nível: |
A - 2 |
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Autoria: |
TORRES, L. A.; PENA JUNIOR, M. A. G. |
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Afiliação: |
LIVIA ABREU TORRES, SIRE; MARCOS ANTONIO GOMES PENA JUNIOR, SIRE. |
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Título: |
Foresight as decision-making support within bounded rationality in individuals and organizations: Embrapa's strategic intelligence system: Agropensa's case |
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Ano de publicação: |
2021 |
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Fonte/Imprenta: |
Foresight, may. 2021. |
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DOI: |
https://doi.org/10.1108/FS-07-2020-0072 |
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Idioma: |
Inglês |
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Notas: |
Ahead of print. |
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Conteúdo: |
Purpose: No matter how much human beings strive to make strictly rational choices, they are incapable of doing so because human knowledge is limited and suffers the influence of psychological aspects. This paper aims to demonstrate how the use of foresight methods has contributed to minimize problems inherent to human rationality through a qualitative descriptive study of the case of the Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation - Embrapa. Design/methodology/approach: This paper collected primary and secondary data through document analysis and interviews with managers of the Embrapa's strategic intelligence system (SIS), Agropensa (a recognized success case of strategic intelligence (SI)/futures studies in Brazilian public administration). Findings: The results show that it was possible to strengthen corporate behavior in the long term, minimize biases inherent to the decision-making process and bring relevant information into the management of the organization. Foresight methods and tools have made it possible to mitigate problems arising from bounded rationality (BR) in the Embrapa's decision-making processes. The change in company's culture potentiated long-term views and access to future-bearing information. Embrapa's SIS contributes to mitigate difficulties inherent to human nature by bringing uncertainty into managerial discussions. Originality/value: Taking in consideration all the advances in the future studies/SI approach, this paper realizes that this particular practical case can contribute to scientific community deepening the understanding of how a structure dedicated to run future studies/SI can diminish BR impacts on the company's decision-making process. MenosPurpose: No matter how much human beings strive to make strictly rational choices, they are incapable of doing so because human knowledge is limited and suffers the influence of psychological aspects. This paper aims to demonstrate how the use of foresight methods has contributed to minimize problems inherent to human rationality through a qualitative descriptive study of the case of the Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation - Embrapa. Design/methodology/approach: This paper collected primary and secondary data through document analysis and interviews with managers of the Embrapa's strategic intelligence system (SIS), Agropensa (a recognized success case of strategic intelligence (SI)/futures studies in Brazilian public administration). Findings: The results show that it was possible to strengthen corporate behavior in the long term, minimize biases inherent to the decision-making process and bring relevant information into the management of the organization. Foresight methods and tools have made it possible to mitigate problems arising from bounded rationality (BR) in the Embrapa's decision-making processes. The change in company's culture potentiated long-term views and access to future-bearing information. Embrapa's SIS contributes to mitigate difficulties inherent to human nature by bringing uncertainty into managerial discussions. Originality/value: Taking in consideration all the advances in the future studies/SI approach, this paper realizes that this particular... Mostrar Tudo |
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Palavras-Chave: |
Strategic intelligence. |
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Thesagro: |
Tomada de Decisão. |
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Thesaurus NAL: |
Decision making. |
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Categoria do assunto: |
-- |
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Marc: |
LEADER 02361naa a2200193 a 4500
001 2131995
005 2021-06-10
008 2021 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d
024 7 $ahttps://doi.org/10.1108/FS-07-2020-0072$2DOI
100 1 $aTORRES, L. A.
245 $aForesight as decision-making support within bounded rationality in individuals and organizations$bEmbrapa's strategic intelligence system: Agropensa's case$h[electronic resource]
260 $c2021
500 $aAhead of print.
520 $aPurpose: No matter how much human beings strive to make strictly rational choices, they are incapable of doing so because human knowledge is limited and suffers the influence of psychological aspects. This paper aims to demonstrate how the use of foresight methods has contributed to minimize problems inherent to human rationality through a qualitative descriptive study of the case of the Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation - Embrapa. Design/methodology/approach: This paper collected primary and secondary data through document analysis and interviews with managers of the Embrapa's strategic intelligence system (SIS), Agropensa (a recognized success case of strategic intelligence (SI)/futures studies in Brazilian public administration). Findings: The results show that it was possible to strengthen corporate behavior in the long term, minimize biases inherent to the decision-making process and bring relevant information into the management of the organization. Foresight methods and tools have made it possible to mitigate problems arising from bounded rationality (BR) in the Embrapa's decision-making processes. The change in company's culture potentiated long-term views and access to future-bearing information. Embrapa's SIS contributes to mitigate difficulties inherent to human nature by bringing uncertainty into managerial discussions. Originality/value: Taking in consideration all the advances in the future studies/SI approach, this paper realizes that this particular practical case can contribute to scientific community deepening the understanding of how a structure dedicated to run future studies/SI can diminish BR impacts on the company's decision-making process.
650 $aDecision making
650 $aTomada de Decisão
653 $aStrategic intelligence
700 1 $aPENA JUNIOR, M. A. G.
773 $tForesight, may. 2021.
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