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Registro Completo |
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Biblioteca(s): |
Embrapa Agricultura Digital; Embrapa Cerrados. |
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Data corrente: |
25/02/2022 |
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Data da última atualização: |
25/02/2022 |
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Tipo da produção científica: |
Artigo em Periódico Indexado |
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Autoria: |
KOTHARI, K.; BATTISTI, R.; BOOTE, K. J.; ARCHONTOULIS, S. V.; CONFALONE, A.; CONSTANTIN, J.; CUADRA, S. V.; DEBAEKE, P.; FAYE, B.; GRANT, B.; HOOGENBOOM, G.; JING, Q.; VAN DER LAAN, M.; SILVA, F. A. M. da; MARIN, F. R.; NEHBANDANI, A.; NENDEL, C.; PURCELL, L. C.; QIAN, B.; RUANE, A. C.; SCHOVING, C.; SILVA, E. H. F. M.; SMITH, W.; SOLTANI, A.; SRIVASTAVA, A.; VIEIRA JÚNIOR, N. A.; SLONE, S.; SALMERÓN, M. |
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Afiliação: |
KRITIKA KOTHARI, UNIVERSITY OF KENTUCKY; RAFAEL BATTISTI, UFG; KENNETH J. BOOTE, UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA; SOTIRIOS V. ARCHONTOULIS, IOWA STATE UNIVERSITY; ADRIANA CONFALONE, UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DEL CENTRO DE LA PROVINCIA DE BUENOS AIRES; JULIE CONSTANTIN, UNIVERSITÉ DE TOULOUSE; SANTIAGO VIANNA CUADRA, CNPTIA; PHILIPPE DEBAEKE, UNIVERSITÉ DE TOULOUSE; BABACAR FAYE, INSTITUT DE RECHERCHE POUR LE D ́EVELOPPEMENT (IRD) ESPACE-DEV; BRIAN GRANT, AGRICULTURE AND AGRI-FOOD CANADA; GERRIT HOOGENBOOM, UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA; QI JING, AGRICULTURE AND AGRI-FOOD CANADA; MICHAEL VAN DER LAAN, UNIVERSITY OF PRETORIA; FERNANDO ANTONIO MACENA DA SILVA, CPAC; FÁBIO RICARDO MARIN, ESALQ/USP; ALIREZA NEHBANDANI, GORGAN UNIVERSITY OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND NATURAL RESOURCE; CLAAS NENDEL, University of PotsdaM, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape ResearcH; LARRY C. PURCELL, UNIVERSITY OF ARKANSAS; BUDONG QIAN, AGRICULTURE AND AGRI-FOOD CANADA; ALEX C. RUANE, NASA GODDARD INSTITUTE FOR SPACE STUDIES; CÉLINE SCHOVING, UNIVERSITÉ DE TOULOUSE, TERRES INOVIA; EVANDRO H. F. M. SILVA, ESALQ/USP; WARD SMITH, AGRICULTURE AND AGRI-FOOD CANADA; AFSHIN SOLTANI, GORGAN UNIVERSITY OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES AND NATURAL RE-SOURCES; AMIT SRIVASTAVA, UNIVERSITY OF BONN; NILSON A. VIEIRA JÚNIOR, ESALQ/USP; STACEY SLONE, UNIVERSITY OF KENTUCKY; MONTSERRAT SALMERÓN, UNIVERSITY OF KENTUCKY. |
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Título: |
Are soybean models ready for climate change food impact assessments? |
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Ano de publicação: |
2022 |
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Fonte/Imprenta: |
European Journal of Agronomy, v. 135, 126482, Apr. 2022. |
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DOI: |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2022.126482 |
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Idioma: |
Inglês |
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Conteúdo: |
Abstract. An accurate estimation of crop yield under climate change scenarios is essential to quantify our ability to feed a growing population and develop agronomic adaptations to meet future food demand. A coordinated evaluation of yield simulations from process-based eco-physiological models for climate change impact assessment is still missing for soybean, the most widely grown grain legume and the main source of protein in our food chain. In this first soybean multi-model study, we used ten prominent models capable of simulating soybean yield under varying temperature and atmospheric CO2 concentration [CO2] to quantify the uncertainty in soybean yield simulations in response to these factors. Models were first parametrized with high quality measured data from five contrasting environments. We found considerable variability among models in simulated yield responses to increasing temperature and [CO2]. For example, under a + 3 °C temperature rise in our coolest location in Argentina, some models simulated that yield would reduce as much as 24%, while others simulated yield increases up to 29%. In our warmest location in Brazil, the models simulated a yield reduction ranging from a 38% decrease under + 3 °C temperature rise to no effect on yield. Similarly, when increasing [CO2] from 360 to 540 ppm, the models simulated a yield increase that ranged from 6% to 31%. Model calibration did not reduce variability across models but had an unexpected effect on modifying yield responses to temperature for some of the models. The high uncertainty in model responses indicates the limited applicability of individual models for climate change food projections. However, the ensemble mean of simulations across models was an effective tool to reduce the high uncertainty in soybean yield simulations associated with individual models and their parametrization. Ensemble, ensemble mean yield responses to temperature and [CO2] were similar to those reported from the literature. Our study is the first demonstration of the benefits achieved from using an ensemble of grain legume models for climate change food projections, and highlights that further soybean model development with experiments under elevated [CO2] and temperature is needed to reduce the uncertainty from the individual models. MenosAbstract. An accurate estimation of crop yield under climate change scenarios is essential to quantify our ability to feed a growing population and develop agronomic adaptations to meet future food demand. A coordinated evaluation of yield simulations from process-based eco-physiological models for climate change impact assessment is still missing for soybean, the most widely grown grain legume and the main source of protein in our food chain. In this first soybean multi-model study, we used ten prominent models capable of simulating soybean yield under varying temperature and atmospheric CO2 concentration [CO2] to quantify the uncertainty in soybean yield simulations in response to these factors. Models were first parametrized with high quality measured data from five contrasting environments. We found considerable variability among models in simulated yield responses to increasing temperature and [CO2]. For example, under a + 3 °C temperature rise in our coolest location in Argentina, some models simulated that yield would reduce as much as 24%, while others simulated yield increases up to 29%. In our warmest location in Brazil, the models simulated a yield reduction ranging from a 38% decrease under + 3 °C temperature rise to no effect on yield. Similarly, when increasing [CO2] from 360 to 540 ppm, the models simulated a yield increase that ranged from 6% to 31%. Model calibration did not reduce variability across models but had an unexpected effect on modifying yield res... Mostrar Tudo |
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Palavras-Chave: |
AgMIP; Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project; Impacto das mudanças climáticas; Legume model; Model calibration; Model ensemble; Modelos de soja; Temperature Atmospheric CO2 concentration. |
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Thesagro: |
Glycine Max; Soja; Temperatura. |
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Thesaurus Nal: |
Models; Soybeans; Temperature. |
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Categoria do assunto: |
-- |
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URL: |
https://ainfo.cnptia.embrapa.br/digital/bitstream/item/232002/1/AP-Soybean-models-2022.pdf
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Marc: |
LEADER 04032naa a2200625 a 4500
001 2140426
005 2022-02-25
008 2022 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d
024 7 $ahttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.eja.2022.126482$2DOI
100 1 $aKOTHARI, K.
245 $aAre soybean models ready for climate change food impact assessments?$h[electronic resource]
260 $c2022
520 $aAbstract. An accurate estimation of crop yield under climate change scenarios is essential to quantify our ability to feed a growing population and develop agronomic adaptations to meet future food demand. A coordinated evaluation of yield simulations from process-based eco-physiological models for climate change impact assessment is still missing for soybean, the most widely grown grain legume and the main source of protein in our food chain. In this first soybean multi-model study, we used ten prominent models capable of simulating soybean yield under varying temperature and atmospheric CO2 concentration [CO2] to quantify the uncertainty in soybean yield simulations in response to these factors. Models were first parametrized with high quality measured data from five contrasting environments. We found considerable variability among models in simulated yield responses to increasing temperature and [CO2]. For example, under a + 3 °C temperature rise in our coolest location in Argentina, some models simulated that yield would reduce as much as 24%, while others simulated yield increases up to 29%. In our warmest location in Brazil, the models simulated a yield reduction ranging from a 38% decrease under + 3 °C temperature rise to no effect on yield. Similarly, when increasing [CO2] from 360 to 540 ppm, the models simulated a yield increase that ranged from 6% to 31%. Model calibration did not reduce variability across models but had an unexpected effect on modifying yield responses to temperature for some of the models. The high uncertainty in model responses indicates the limited applicability of individual models for climate change food projections. However, the ensemble mean of simulations across models was an effective tool to reduce the high uncertainty in soybean yield simulations associated with individual models and their parametrization. Ensemble, ensemble mean yield responses to temperature and [CO2] were similar to those reported from the literature. Our study is the first demonstration of the benefits achieved from using an ensemble of grain legume models for climate change food projections, and highlights that further soybean model development with experiments under elevated [CO2] and temperature is needed to reduce the uncertainty from the individual models.
650 $aModels
650 $aSoybeans
650 $aTemperature
650 $aGlycine Max
650 $aSoja
650 $aTemperatura
653 $aAgMIP
653 $aAgricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project
653 $aImpacto das mudanças climáticas
653 $aLegume model
653 $aModel calibration
653 $aModel ensemble
653 $aModelos de soja
653 $aTemperature Atmospheric CO2 concentration
700 1 $aBATTISTI, R.
700 1 $aBOOTE, K. J.
700 1 $aARCHONTOULIS, S. V.
700 1 $aCONFALONE, A.
700 1 $aCONSTANTIN, J.
700 1 $aCUADRA, S. V.
700 1 $aDEBAEKE, P.
700 1 $aFAYE, B.
700 1 $aGRANT, B.
700 1 $aHOOGENBOOM, G.
700 1 $aJING, Q.
700 1 $aVAN DER LAAN, M.
700 1 $aSILVA, F. A. M. da
700 1 $aMARIN, F. R.
700 1 $aNEHBANDANI, A.
700 1 $aNENDEL, C.
700 1 $aPURCELL, L. C.
700 1 $aQIAN, B.
700 1 $aRUANE, A. C.
700 1 $aSCHOVING, C.
700 1 $aSILVA, E. H. F. M.
700 1 $aSMITH, W.
700 1 $aSOLTANI, A.
700 1 $aSRIVASTAVA, A.
700 1 $aVIEIRA JÚNIOR, N. A.
700 1 $aSLONE, S.
700 1 $aSALMERÓN, M.
773 $tEuropean Journal of Agronomy$gv. 135, 126482, Apr. 2022.
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Registro original: |
Embrapa Agricultura Digital (CNPTIA) |
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Registro Completo
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Biblioteca(s): |
Embrapa Florestas. |
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Data corrente: |
27/10/2023 |
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Data da última atualização: |
27/10/2023 |
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Autoria: |
SALVIANO, D. A.; FERREIRA, I. L.; ASSE, I. de L. M.; SALVIO, G. M. M.; SILVEIRA JUNIOR, W. J. da; DIAS, L. L.; OLIVEIRA, L. R. A. de. |
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Afiliação: |
DENISE ARAÚJO SALVIANO, UNIVERSIDADE DE RIBEIRÃO PRETO; IGOR LACERDA FERREIRA, PREFEITURA MUNICIPAL DE CONCEIÇÃO DO MATO DENTRO; IGOR DE LUCENA MARQUES ASSE, UNIVERSIDADE DE RIBEIRÃO PRETO; GERALDO MAJELA MORAES SALVIO, INSTITUTO FEDERAL SUDESTE DE MINAS GERAIS; WANDERLEY JORGE DA SILVEIRA JUNIOR, INSTITUTO FEDERAL SUDESTE DE MINAS GERAIS; LEILA LÚCIA DIAS, UNIVERSIDADE DE RIBEIRÃO PRETO; LUCIANA REZENDE ALVES DE OLIVEIRA, UNIVERSIDADE DE RIBEIRÃO PRETO. |
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Título: |
Monitoramento das ameaças externas como estratégia para suas reduções em áreas protegidas em zonas urbanas. |
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Ano de publicação: |
2023 |
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Fonte/Imprenta: |
Pesquisa Florestal Brasileira, v. 43, p. 1-9, 2023. |
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DOI: |
https://doi.org/10.4336/2023.pfb.43e201902065 |
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Idioma: |
Português |
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Conteúdo: |
Resumo. No município de Conceição de Mato Dentro, MG, encontra-se o Parque Natural Municipal Salão de Pedras, unidade de conservação (UC) com características ambientais relevantes, legalmente instituída pelo Poder Público. Todavia, essa UC, por se localizar em área urbana e periurbana, recebe vários tipos de pressão e, consequentemente, ameaças à sua integridade. Essa pesquisa teve por objetivo monitorar as ameaças externas, como estratégia para redução dos problemas de ordem antrópicas em pontos de maior ocorrência. Para tanto, foi organizada uma rota de fiscalização, executada pelos guardas-parque que trabalham na unidade, no período de cinco meses. Verificou-se que as ocorrências tendem a se localizar, predominantemente, nos balneários e nas áreas próximas às estradas e às divisas do parque com outras propriedades. Além disso, observou-se que a execução de uma rota de fiscalização não foi suficiente para reduzir as ameaças externas. Portanto, devem ser elaboradas ações de aproximação e educação em conjunto com a população do entorno e com os visitantes, para a efetiva prevenção das ações degradantes ao parque. Abstract. Within the municipality of Conceição de Mato Dentro, Minas Gerais State, Brazil, is the conservation unit named Parque Natural Municipal Salão de Pedras, with relevant natural features and legally established by the State. However, as the park is located in urban and peri-urban areas, it suffers different types of pressure and, consequently, has its integrity threatened. The objective of this research was to monitor external threats as a strategy to reduce anthropic problems in sites with higher occurrence of disturbances. Thus, a surveillance route was organized, which was carried out by park-guards who work at the unit, for a period of five months. It was noted that the occurrences tend to be localized, predominately, in the resorts and in areas near roads and park borders with other properties. Furthermore, it was noted that there was no effectiveness in implementing an inspection route to reduce external threats in the unit. Therefore, approximation and education actions must be developed together with the surrounding population and visitors to effectively prevent these degrading actions in the park. MenosResumo. No município de Conceição de Mato Dentro, MG, encontra-se o Parque Natural Municipal Salão de Pedras, unidade de conservação (UC) com características ambientais relevantes, legalmente instituída pelo Poder Público. Todavia, essa UC, por se localizar em área urbana e periurbana, recebe vários tipos de pressão e, consequentemente, ameaças à sua integridade. Essa pesquisa teve por objetivo monitorar as ameaças externas, como estratégia para redução dos problemas de ordem antrópicas em pontos de maior ocorrência. Para tanto, foi organizada uma rota de fiscalização, executada pelos guardas-parque que trabalham na unidade, no período de cinco meses. Verificou-se que as ocorrências tendem a se localizar, predominantemente, nos balneários e nas áreas próximas às estradas e às divisas do parque com outras propriedades. Além disso, observou-se que a execução de uma rota de fiscalização não foi suficiente para reduzir as ameaças externas. Portanto, devem ser elaboradas ações de aproximação e educação em conjunto com a população do entorno e com os visitantes, para a efetiva prevenção das ações degradantes ao parque. Abstract. Within the municipality of Conceição de Mato Dentro, Minas Gerais State, Brazil, is the conservation unit named Parque Natural Municipal Salão de Pedras, with relevant natural features and legally established by the State. However, as the park is located in urban and peri-urban areas, it suffers different types of pressure and, consequently, has its integr... Mostrar Tudo |
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Palavras-Chave: |
Parque urbano; Protected area; Unidade de conservação; Urban park. |
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Thesagro: |
Educação Ambiental. |
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Thesaurus NAL: |
Environmental education. |
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Categoria do assunto: |
K Ciência Florestal e Produtos de Origem Vegetal |
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URL: |
https://ainfo.cnptia.embrapa.br/digital/bitstream/doc/1157577/1/EmbrapaFlorestas-PFB-2023-MonitoramentoAreasProtegidasUrbanas.pdf
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Marc: |
LEADER 03205naa a2200277 a 4500
001 2157577
005 2023-10-27
008 2023 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d
024 7 $ahttps://doi.org/10.4336/2023.pfb.43e201902065$2DOI
100 1 $aSALVIANO, D. A.
245 $aMonitoramento das ameaças externas como estratégia para suas reduções em áreas protegidas em zonas urbanas.$h[electronic resource]
260 $c2023
520 $aResumo. No município de Conceição de Mato Dentro, MG, encontra-se o Parque Natural Municipal Salão de Pedras, unidade de conservação (UC) com características ambientais relevantes, legalmente instituída pelo Poder Público. Todavia, essa UC, por se localizar em área urbana e periurbana, recebe vários tipos de pressão e, consequentemente, ameaças à sua integridade. Essa pesquisa teve por objetivo monitorar as ameaças externas, como estratégia para redução dos problemas de ordem antrópicas em pontos de maior ocorrência. Para tanto, foi organizada uma rota de fiscalização, executada pelos guardas-parque que trabalham na unidade, no período de cinco meses. Verificou-se que as ocorrências tendem a se localizar, predominantemente, nos balneários e nas áreas próximas às estradas e às divisas do parque com outras propriedades. Além disso, observou-se que a execução de uma rota de fiscalização não foi suficiente para reduzir as ameaças externas. Portanto, devem ser elaboradas ações de aproximação e educação em conjunto com a população do entorno e com os visitantes, para a efetiva prevenção das ações degradantes ao parque. Abstract. Within the municipality of Conceição de Mato Dentro, Minas Gerais State, Brazil, is the conservation unit named Parque Natural Municipal Salão de Pedras, with relevant natural features and legally established by the State. However, as the park is located in urban and peri-urban areas, it suffers different types of pressure and, consequently, has its integrity threatened. The objective of this research was to monitor external threats as a strategy to reduce anthropic problems in sites with higher occurrence of disturbances. Thus, a surveillance route was organized, which was carried out by park-guards who work at the unit, for a period of five months. It was noted that the occurrences tend to be localized, predominately, in the resorts and in areas near roads and park borders with other properties. Furthermore, it was noted that there was no effectiveness in implementing an inspection route to reduce external threats in the unit. Therefore, approximation and education actions must be developed together with the surrounding population and visitors to effectively prevent these degrading actions in the park.
650 $aEnvironmental education
650 $aEducação Ambiental
653 $aParque urbano
653 $aProtected area
653 $aUnidade de conservação
653 $aUrban park
700 1 $aFERREIRA, I. L.
700 1 $aASSE, I. de L. M.
700 1 $aSALVIO, G. M. M.
700 1 $aSILVEIRA JUNIOR, W. J. da
700 1 $aDIAS, L. L.
700 1 $aOLIVEIRA, L. R. A. de
773 $tPesquisa Florestal Brasileira$gv. 43, p. 1-9, 2023.
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Embrapa Florestas (CNPF) |
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