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Registro Completo |
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Biblioteca(s): |
Embrapa Caprinos e Ovinos. |
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Data corrente: |
19/11/2012 |
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Data da última atualização: |
31/05/2017 |
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Tipo da produção científica: |
Nota Técnica/Nota Científica |
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Autoria: |
GUIMARÃES, V. P.; TEDESCHI, L. O.; RODRIGUES, M. T. |
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Afiliação: |
Vinícius P. Guimarães, Consultor da Embrapa Caprinos e Ovinos (CNPC).; Luis O. Tedeschi, Texas A&M University; Marcelo T. Rodrigues, Federal University of Viçosa (UFV) - Viçosa, MG. |
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Título: |
A dairy goat model to study the impacts on herd dynamics. |
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Ano de publicação: |
2009 |
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Fonte/Imprenta: |
Tropical and Subtropical Agroecosystems, v. 11, n. 1, p. 115-119, 2009. |
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Idioma: |
Inglês |
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Conteúdo: |
The understanding of a dairy goat production system is crucial to establish a more competitive activity. Therefore, a simulation model was built to evaluate the dynamics of dairy goat herd under different scenarios of production. A System Dynamics approach was used to identify management policies that affect the behavior of the herd. All parameters considered in this model assumed average values reported in production systems in the Southeast region of Brazil. To simulate a herd in dynamic equilibrium, the culling and retention rates were used. Thereafter, simulations were performed based on changes in reproductive and mortality rates. All the simulations were planned to take the variation in herd development based on simple management strategies over 10 years of simulation. The dynamic equilibrium of 50 lactating does was obtained when fixed culling and retention rates of 20 and 70%, respectively, were assigned to the does after 36 months of simulation. A sensitivity analysis was made and indicated that an increase of 20% in the reproduction rates increased the number of animals in the herd in 56%. A decrease in the reproduction rate of 20% reduced the number of animals in 43%. A third simulation indicated that increasing mortality rate from 4 to 10% of the female kids decreased the number of lactating does by 36%. These results indicated that small changes in reproduction and mortality rates can considerably affect the dynamics of the herd, even though the herd may not be immediately affected because of the intrinsic delays in the system. This result is extremely important to justify the need of activity planning to consider the gap between a measurement taken and the consequences, preparing the producers to potential delays in the system. The use of mathematical models is important to understand the relationships between variables and the dynamic of the system and to assist in applying best management strategies to enhance productivity of dairy goats. [Modelo de cabras lecheras para evaluar el impacto de las estrategias de manejo en la dinámica del rebaño]. MenosThe understanding of a dairy goat production system is crucial to establish a more competitive activity. Therefore, a simulation model was built to evaluate the dynamics of dairy goat herd under different scenarios of production. A System Dynamics approach was used to identify management policies that affect the behavior of the herd. All parameters considered in this model assumed average values reported in production systems in the Southeast region of Brazil. To simulate a herd in dynamic equilibrium, the culling and retention rates were used. Thereafter, simulations were performed based on changes in reproductive and mortality rates. All the simulations were planned to take the variation in herd development based on simple management strategies over 10 years of simulation. The dynamic equilibrium of 50 lactating does was obtained when fixed culling and retention rates of 20 and 70%, respectively, were assigned to the does after 36 months of simulation. A sensitivity analysis was made and indicated that an increase of 20% in the reproduction rates increased the number of animals in the herd in 56%. A decrease in the reproduction rate of 20% reduced the number of animals in 43%. A third simulation indicated that increasing mortality rate from 4 to 10% of the female kids decreased the number of lactating does by 36%. These results indicated that small changes in reproduction and mortality rates can considerably affect the dynamics of the herd, even though the herd may not be ... Mostrar Tudo |
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Palavras-Chave: |
Brasil; Modelo animal; Production; Região Sudeste. |
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Thesagro: |
Cabra leiteira; Melhoramento genético animal; Sistema de produção. |
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Thesaurus Nal: |
Brazil; Breeding; Goats; Models. |
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Categoria do assunto: |
G Melhoramento Genético |
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URL: |
https://ainfo.cnptia.embrapa.br/digital/bitstream/item/70329/1/NT-A-dairy-goat-model-.pdf
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Marc: |
LEADER 02862naa a2200277 a 4500
001 1939897
005 2017-05-31
008 2009 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d
100 1 $aGUIMARÃES, V. P.
245 $aA dairy goat model to study the impacts on herd dynamics.$h[electronic resource]
260 $c2009
520 $aThe understanding of a dairy goat production system is crucial to establish a more competitive activity. Therefore, a simulation model was built to evaluate the dynamics of dairy goat herd under different scenarios of production. A System Dynamics approach was used to identify management policies that affect the behavior of the herd. All parameters considered in this model assumed average values reported in production systems in the Southeast region of Brazil. To simulate a herd in dynamic equilibrium, the culling and retention rates were used. Thereafter, simulations were performed based on changes in reproductive and mortality rates. All the simulations were planned to take the variation in herd development based on simple management strategies over 10 years of simulation. The dynamic equilibrium of 50 lactating does was obtained when fixed culling and retention rates of 20 and 70%, respectively, were assigned to the does after 36 months of simulation. A sensitivity analysis was made and indicated that an increase of 20% in the reproduction rates increased the number of animals in the herd in 56%. A decrease in the reproduction rate of 20% reduced the number of animals in 43%. A third simulation indicated that increasing mortality rate from 4 to 10% of the female kids decreased the number of lactating does by 36%. These results indicated that small changes in reproduction and mortality rates can considerably affect the dynamics of the herd, even though the herd may not be immediately affected because of the intrinsic delays in the system. This result is extremely important to justify the need of activity planning to consider the gap between a measurement taken and the consequences, preparing the producers to potential delays in the system. The use of mathematical models is important to understand the relationships between variables and the dynamic of the system and to assist in applying best management strategies to enhance productivity of dairy goats. [Modelo de cabras lecheras para evaluar el impacto de las estrategias de manejo en la dinámica del rebaño].
650 $aBrazil
650 $aBreeding
650 $aGoats
650 $aModels
650 $aCabra leiteira
650 $aMelhoramento genético animal
650 $aSistema de produção
653 $aBrasil
653 $aModelo animal
653 $aProduction
653 $aRegião Sudeste
700 1 $aTEDESCHI, L. O.
700 1 $aRODRIGUES, M. T.
773 $tTropical and Subtropical Agroecosystems$gv. 11, n. 1, p. 115-119, 2009.
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Registro original: |
Embrapa Caprinos e Ovinos (CNPC) |
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Biblioteca |
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Origem |
Tipo/Formato |
Classificação |
Cutter |
Registro |
Volume |
Status |
URL |
Voltar
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Registro Completo
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Biblioteca(s): |
Embrapa Hortaliças. |
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Data corrente: |
26/07/2019 |
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Data da última atualização: |
26/07/2019 |
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Tipo da produção científica: |
Artigo em Periódico Indexado |
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Autoria: |
VIEIRA, D. de F. A.; CLEMENTE, F. M. V. T. |
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Afiliação: |
DEBORA DE FARIA ALBERNAZ VIEIRA, CNPH; FLAVIA MARIA VIEIRA TEIXEIRA CLEMENTE, CNPH. |
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Título: |
Harvest-expedition on protected cultivation characterization and prospective study of the challenges and solutions associated with the protected cultivation of vegetable crops. |
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Ano de publicação: |
2018 |
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Fonte/Imprenta: |
Horticultura Brasileira, v. 36, n. 4, p. 431-438, Oct. /Dec 2018. |
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ISSN: |
0102-0536 |
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DOI: |
10.1590/s0102-053620180402 |
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Idioma: |
Inglês |
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Conteúdo: |
Farmers and the rural extension service in Planaltina, in the Federal District, an important pole of tomato and sweet pepper production in the Brazilian Midwest region, have been observing decreases in yield in protected cultivation lately. Yields are getting back to those registered in initial years of the system?s implementation in the region. Besides, prices paid to farmers dropped due to the retreat in fruit and vegetable consumption by Brazilians registered since 2015, triggering a crisis in the region. The so-called ?Harvest-Expedition on Protected Cultivation? brought together Embrapa (Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation), Emater-DF (Federal District Agency for Technical Assistance and Rural Extension) and SEAGRI-DF (State Secretariat for Agriculture, Food Supply, and Rural Development) to contribute on identifying and possibly finding solutions to the bottlenecks related to the technological and behavioral challenges likely to be causing yield drops and, consequently, reductions in farmers? incomes. We carried out semi-structured interviews in April 2017 with all 127 producers who adopt protected cultivation in the region to profile them, as well as to characterize their properties, protected cultivation structures, and crop management, especially for tomato and sweet pepper. Agriculture is eminently family-based in the region and pressure over yield comes mainly from the continuous increase in the incidence of pests and diseases, strengthened by the low level of implementation of good agricultural and management practices. Despite the current adverse scenario, collaborative and multidisciplinary work in the region, bringing together organized farmers and the institutions involved in this survey, could revert the situation. MenosFarmers and the rural extension service in Planaltina, in the Federal District, an important pole of tomato and sweet pepper production in the Brazilian Midwest region, have been observing decreases in yield in protected cultivation lately. Yields are getting back to those registered in initial years of the system?s implementation in the region. Besides, prices paid to farmers dropped due to the retreat in fruit and vegetable consumption by Brazilians registered since 2015, triggering a crisis in the region. The so-called ?Harvest-Expedition on Protected Cultivation? brought together Embrapa (Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation), Emater-DF (Federal District Agency for Technical Assistance and Rural Extension) and SEAGRI-DF (State Secretariat for Agriculture, Food Supply, and Rural Development) to contribute on identifying and possibly finding solutions to the bottlenecks related to the technological and behavioral challenges likely to be causing yield drops and, consequently, reductions in farmers? incomes. We carried out semi-structured interviews in April 2017 with all 127 producers who adopt protected cultivation in the region to profile them, as well as to characterize their properties, protected cultivation structures, and crop management, especially for tomato and sweet pepper. Agriculture is eminently family-based in the region and pressure over yield comes mainly from the continuous increase in the incidence of pests and diseases, strengthened by the low leve... Mostrar Tudo |
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Thesagro: |
Cultivo Protegido; Pimentão; Produtividade; Tomate. |
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Categoria do assunto: |
-- |
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URL: |
https://ainfo.cnptia.embrapa.br/digital/bitstream/item/199894/1/1806-9991-hb-36-04-431.pdf
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Marc: |
LEADER 02488naa a2200205 a 4500
001 2110897
005 2019-07-26
008 2018 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d
022 $a0102-0536
024 7 $a10.1590/s0102-053620180402$2DOI
100 1 $aVIEIRA, D. de F. A.
245 $aHarvest-expedition on protected cultivation characterization and prospective study of the challenges and solutions associated with the protected cultivation of vegetable crops.$h[electronic resource]
260 $c2018
520 $aFarmers and the rural extension service in Planaltina, in the Federal District, an important pole of tomato and sweet pepper production in the Brazilian Midwest region, have been observing decreases in yield in protected cultivation lately. Yields are getting back to those registered in initial years of the system?s implementation in the region. Besides, prices paid to farmers dropped due to the retreat in fruit and vegetable consumption by Brazilians registered since 2015, triggering a crisis in the region. The so-called ?Harvest-Expedition on Protected Cultivation? brought together Embrapa (Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation), Emater-DF (Federal District Agency for Technical Assistance and Rural Extension) and SEAGRI-DF (State Secretariat for Agriculture, Food Supply, and Rural Development) to contribute on identifying and possibly finding solutions to the bottlenecks related to the technological and behavioral challenges likely to be causing yield drops and, consequently, reductions in farmers? incomes. We carried out semi-structured interviews in April 2017 with all 127 producers who adopt protected cultivation in the region to profile them, as well as to characterize their properties, protected cultivation structures, and crop management, especially for tomato and sweet pepper. Agriculture is eminently family-based in the region and pressure over yield comes mainly from the continuous increase in the incidence of pests and diseases, strengthened by the low level of implementation of good agricultural and management practices. Despite the current adverse scenario, collaborative and multidisciplinary work in the region, bringing together organized farmers and the institutions involved in this survey, could revert the situation.
650 $aCultivo Protegido
650 $aPimentão
650 $aProdutividade
650 $aTomate
700 1 $aCLEMENTE, F. M. V. T.
773 $tHorticultura Brasileira$gv. 36, n. 4, p. 431-438, Oct. /Dec 2018.
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Registro original: |
Embrapa Hortaliças (CNPH) |
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