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Registro Completo |
Biblioteca(s): |
Embrapa Agricultura Digital. |
Data corrente: |
28/12/2011 |
Data da última atualização: |
13/01/2020 |
Tipo da produção científica: |
Artigo em Periódico Indexado |
Autoria: |
ZULLO JÚNIOR, J.; PINTO, H. S.; ASSAD, E. D.; ÁVILA, A. M. H. de. |
Afiliação: |
JURANDIR ZULLO JÚNIOR, Cepagri/Unicamp; HILTON SILVEIRA PINTO, Cepagri/Unicamp; EDUARDO DELGADO ASSAD, CNPTIA; ANA MARIA HEUMINSKI DE ÁVILA, Cepagri/Unicamp. |
Título: |
Potential for growing Arabica coffee in the extreme south of Brazil in a warmer world. |
Ano de publicação: |
2011 |
Fonte/Imprenta: |
Climatic Change, Dordrecht, v. 109, n. 3-4, p. 535-548, 2011. |
DOI: |
10.1007/s10584-011-0058-0 |
Idioma: |
Inglês |
Conteúdo: |
Agriculture appears to be one of the human activities most vulnerable to climatic changes due to its large dependence on environmental conditions. However, the diversity of Brazilian environmental conditions could be of great advantage to adapting this sector to new climatic conditions, which should be assessed as in this study on shifting Arabica coffee cultivation to the extreme south of the country. The methodology applied is the same the one used to define climatic risks in current productive regions of Brazil and their vulnerability to climatic change predicted by IPCC reports. The basic climatic parameters applied were frost probability and annual average temperature, since annual water deficit did not prove to be a restricting factor for Arabica coffee cultivation in the study area. The climatic conditions suitable for coffee production are: annual average temperature between 18o C and 22o C, annual water deficit less than 100 mm and frost probability (risk of lowest annual temperature less than 1o C) less than 25%. An area is said to have "low climatic risks" for coffee production when these three climatic conditions are met. Current climatic conditions were used and simulations of four temperature increases between 1o C and 4o C were also performed. The results indicated a substantial increase in the size of low climatic risks areas for the production of Arabica coffee in the extreme south of Brazil, mainly for mean temperature increases of 3o C in the study area in relation to present conditions. Increases of 2o C and 4o C were also favorable, but not as good as those obtained for 3o C. It should be underscored that areas with low climatic risks will be able to be found mainly in the extreme south of the study region, the border with Uruguay and North of Argentina. MenosAgriculture appears to be one of the human activities most vulnerable to climatic changes due to its large dependence on environmental conditions. However, the diversity of Brazilian environmental conditions could be of great advantage to adapting this sector to new climatic conditions, which should be assessed as in this study on shifting Arabica coffee cultivation to the extreme south of the country. The methodology applied is the same the one used to define climatic risks in current productive regions of Brazil and their vulnerability to climatic change predicted by IPCC reports. The basic climatic parameters applied were frost probability and annual average temperature, since annual water deficit did not prove to be a restricting factor for Arabica coffee cultivation in the study area. The climatic conditions suitable for coffee production are: annual average temperature between 18o C and 22o C, annual water deficit less than 100 mm and frost probability (risk of lowest annual temperature less than 1o C) less than 25%. An area is said to have "low climatic risks" for coffee production when these three climatic conditions are met. Current climatic conditions were used and simulations of four temperature increases between 1o C and 4o C were also performed. The results indicated a substantial increase in the size of low climatic risks areas for the production of Arabica coffee in the extreme south of Brazil, mainly for mean temperature increases of 3o C in the study area in... Mostrar Tudo |
Palavras-Chave: |
Mudanças climáticas. |
Thesagro: |
Agricultura; Café; Coffea Arábica. |
Thesaurus Nal: |
Agriculture; Climate change. |
Categoria do assunto: |
-- |
Marc: |
LEADER 02523naa a2200241 a 4500 001 1911124 005 2020-01-13 008 2011 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d 024 7 $a10.1007/s10584-011-0058-0$2DOI 100 1 $aZULLO JÚNIOR, J. 245 $aPotential for growing Arabica coffee in the extreme south of Brazil in a warmer world.$h[electronic resource] 260 $c2011 520 $aAgriculture appears to be one of the human activities most vulnerable to climatic changes due to its large dependence on environmental conditions. However, the diversity of Brazilian environmental conditions could be of great advantage to adapting this sector to new climatic conditions, which should be assessed as in this study on shifting Arabica coffee cultivation to the extreme south of the country. The methodology applied is the same the one used to define climatic risks in current productive regions of Brazil and their vulnerability to climatic change predicted by IPCC reports. The basic climatic parameters applied were frost probability and annual average temperature, since annual water deficit did not prove to be a restricting factor for Arabica coffee cultivation in the study area. The climatic conditions suitable for coffee production are: annual average temperature between 18o C and 22o C, annual water deficit less than 100 mm and frost probability (risk of lowest annual temperature less than 1o C) less than 25%. An area is said to have "low climatic risks" for coffee production when these three climatic conditions are met. Current climatic conditions were used and simulations of four temperature increases between 1o C and 4o C were also performed. The results indicated a substantial increase in the size of low climatic risks areas for the production of Arabica coffee in the extreme south of Brazil, mainly for mean temperature increases of 3o C in the study area in relation to present conditions. Increases of 2o C and 4o C were also favorable, but not as good as those obtained for 3o C. It should be underscored that areas with low climatic risks will be able to be found mainly in the extreme south of the study region, the border with Uruguay and North of Argentina. 650 $aAgriculture 650 $aClimate change 650 $aAgricultura 650 $aCafé 650 $aCoffea Arábica 653 $aMudanças climáticas 700 1 $aPINTO, H. S. 700 1 $aASSAD, E. D. 700 1 $aÁVILA, A. M. H. de 773 $tClimatic Change, Dordrecht$gv. 109, n. 3-4, p. 535-548, 2011.
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7. | | RIBEIRO, M. E. R.; ZANELA, M. B.; ROSA, P. P.; JUCHEM, S. de O.; ANTUNES, H. J. V.; D´ÁVILA, A. S. Caracterização de unidades de produção leiteira na região Sul do Rio Grande do Sul: 1: sistemas de produção. In: CONGRESSO INTERNACIONAL DO LEITE, 13.; WORKSHOP DE POLÍTICAS PÚBLICAS, 13.; SIMPÓSIO DE SUSTENTABILIDADE DA ATIVIDADE LEITEIRA, 14., 2015, Porto Alegre. Anais... Brasília, DF: Embrapa, 2015. 1 CD-ROM. (Embrapa Gado de Leite. Documentos, 184.). Editores Técnicos: Paulo do Carmo Martins, Gilberto Antônio Piccinini, Ernesto Ênio Budke Krug, Marne Sidney de Paula Moreira, Carlos Eugênio Martins, Oreno Ardêmio Heineck, Marcelo Henrique Otenio, Leonardo Dornelles de Dorneles,...Tipo: Artigo em Anais de Congresso |
Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Pecuária Sul. |
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8. | | RIBEIRO, M. E. R.; ZANELA, M. B.; ROSA, P. P.; JUCHEM, S. de O.; ANTUNES, H. J. V.; D´ÁVILA, A. S. Caracterização de Unidades de Produção Leiteira na Região Sul do Rio Grande do Sul. 1. Sistemas de Produção. In: CONGRESSO INTERNACIONAL DO LEITE, 13.; WORKSHOP DE POLÍTICAS PÚBLICAS, 13.; SIMPÓSIO DE SUSTENTABILIDADE DA ATIVIDADE LEITEIRA, 14., Porto Alegre. Anais... Juiz de Fora: Embrapa Gado de Leite, 2015.Tipo: Artigo em Anais de Congresso |
Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Clima Temperado. |
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10. | | OSOWSKI, G. V.; D?ÁVILA, A.; MORES, M. A. Z.; JAENISCH, F. R. F.; BALDI, K. R. A.; ESTEVES, P. A. Hibridização in situ para detecção do vírus da anemia infecciosa das galinhas (CAV) e girovírus aviário tipo 2 (AVG2). In: JORNADA DE INICIAÇÃO CIENTÍFICA, 8., 2014, Concórdia. Anais... Brasília: Embrapa, 2014. p. 65-66. JINC 2014.Tipo: Artigo em Anais de Congresso |
Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Suínos e Aves. |
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11. | | LIMA, M. F.; NAGATA, T.; NEVES, F. M.; INOUE NAGATA, A. K.; MOITA, A. C.; SOUSA, C.; DELLA VECCHIA, M.; RANGEL, M. G.; DIAS, R. de C. S.; DUTRA, L. D.; ÁVILA, A. C. de. Occurrence of melon yellowing-associated virus (MYaV) in melon producing areas of Brazilian Northeast. Tropical Plant Pathology, v. 34, p. S278, ago. 2009. Suplemento. Edição dos Resumos do 42 Congresso Brasileiro de Fitopatologia, Rio de Janeiro, ago. 2009. Nome correto do pesquisador é Antonio Williams Moita - MOITA, A. W.Tipo: Resumo em Anais de Congresso |
Biblioteca(s): Embrapa Hortaliças; Embrapa Semiárido. |
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